Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 10/27/24
LWWWL | Last 5 | LWLWL |
| 4-3 | Record | 4-3 |
| 3-4-0 | ATS Record | 4-3-0 |
| 3-4 | O/U Record | 5-2 |
Falcons vs Buccaneers Pickswise Expert Predictions
The Atlanta Falcons will travel to Tampa Bay this weekend for an NFC South matchup against the Buccaneers. Both teams are coming off defeats in Week 7, but the Bucs lost much more than just the game. Stars wide receivers Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle) both exited Monday’s game against the Ravens, and QB Baker Mayfield will now have to target other wideouts for the foreseeable future. It remains to be seen what the Bucs passing attack will look like moving forward, but I expect them to rely heavily on their rushing attack and utilize TE Cade Otton as much as possible.
On the flip side, the Falcons suffered a 34-14 home defeat against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 7, but the scoreline is a bit misleading. Atlanta actually outgained Seattle by 30 yards, but two Kirk Cousins INTs and a fumble return TD proved to be the difference between a close game and a 20-point defeat. They entered the game riding a three-game winning streak, and Atlanta may have been slightly looking ahead to this week’s divisional game. However, I expect them to rebound well, as they are 3-0 in the NFC South this season, and a win in Tampa Bay would be a huge boost toward their chances of winning the division. Additionally, the Falcons are 2-0 on the road this year compared to 2-3 at home, so they’ve shown they can win outside of Mercedes Benz Stadium.
A healthy Buccaneers receiving core would likely flip this spread toward Tampa Bay, but it cannot be understated how much Evans and Godwin mean to this offense, as they’ve accounted for 49% of the Bucs’ receiving yards and 61.1% of their receiving TDs this season. Atlanta is 4-1 against the spread when facing Tampa Bay in the teams’ last five meetings, and I’ll gladly back that trend to continue in Week 8 on Sunday.
Falcons vs Buccaneers prediction: Atlanta -2.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing, playable to -3.
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Luke Lindholm
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Model projections coming soon
The Buccaneers have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 matchups against NFC teams.
The Over is 4-1 in the Falcons' last 5 matchups against NFC South teams.
The Buccaneers have won 4 of their last 5 home games against NFC teams.
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