NFL Picks
Get expert NFL picks for every game of the 2025-26 season. Our free NFL picks are informed by key betting trends, statistical analysis and years of NFL betting experience. Bet smarter with our NFL picks this week, and every week of the NFL season.
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Expert NFL Picks
There are just 18 weeks in the NFL regular season with a maximum of 16 games per week, but NFL Betting is easily the most popular in North America amongst bettors. Our expert handicappers bring decades of experience to all of our NFL picks, providing the best insight, analysis, and value – making every single one of our free NFL picks an expert NFL pick.
Free NFL Picks Explained
We firmly believe expert NFL picks should be free, so you’ll find our NFL picks today, and every day of the season, right here. We publish our free NFL picks for every game, at least a few days in advance of gameday, so you know who the experts are backing without missing out on the early value in the betting markets.
There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, moneyline, over/under, NFL Parlays, and NFL Prop Bets, there is a bet type for every kind of football fan, so we provide NFL picks for every bet type. Some bettors like to specialize in a single particular type of NFL pick, while others like to have a diverse range and bet on anything they feel is a value pick.
Here at Pickswise, we have something for everyone. Our team of handicappers have a wealth of experience in making NFL picks across all these betting markets, leaving no stone unturned ahead of every game and every pick of the 2025 NFL season. If you’re looking for more information on NFL bet types, You can find our expert breakdown of each below.
Free NFL Picks Against the Spread
The most popular way to bet on the NFL is against the spread (ATS). With these wagers, you are not picking a simple winner or loser of a game. Instead, ATS betting is placing your money that Team A wins by a certain amount of points or that Team B will keep the game closer than oddsmakers expect, in other words, not lose by that same amount of points.
For Example
Philadelphia Eagles -7 – Philadelphia must win by 8 or more points to cover the spread.
Chicago Bears +7 – Chicago must win, or lose by 6 or fewer points to cover the spread.
Tie Scenario – If the game ended 27-20 to Philadelphia, the spread would be a tie, or a push and stakes would be returned.
NFL spread betting trends
- The team that covers the spread wins the game outright around 80% of the time.
- Road teams on Thursday Night Football covered the spread less than 40% of the time.
- Teams coming off a blowout loss (20+ points) tend to rebound against the spread, 57% of the time.
Free NFL Over / Under Picks
Another exciting way to still get in on the NFL action is with totals wagers. In these bets you don’t take a side, but whether the two teams will combine to score over or under the total number of points that the oddsmakers have set. Already since sports betting has been legalized we’ve seen many occasions where a hail mary, missed FG or XP has cost over or unders bettors, so be prepared to be in for the long haul with your totals bets. We preview every game of the NFL season, providing insight into the game as a whole alongside expert NFL picks so you can make informed NFL totals bets.
NFL over / under betting trends
- Overall, unders have proven the value pick in recent seasons, as defenses have caught up with scoring trending down since 2021
- Unders bets have the edge in divisional games, landing 57% of the time. This trend gets stronger late in the season (week 13 onwards), especially in cold weather conditions.
- Unders bets have landed on 58% of primetime games, as public betting tends to have a bias for the overs in these games.
Money Line NFL Picks
Ask any seasoned NFL bettor and they’ll tell you that ATS betting is exciting, but can also be frustrating. It is important to keep in mind that NFL teams only need to win by one, of course, they’d love to win by more, but they’ll change their schemes late on to secure a win, not to ensure they cover the spread. Your research could have given you the right side, but if they win by 6 instead of 7 your -6.5 bet is a loss. Therefore a lot of bettors like to keep it simple and take our expert NFL Money Line picks and bet on the NFL straight up.
NFL Moneyline betting trends
- Moneyline favourites win 66% of the time over the last two seasons, but the underdogs offer better value returns winning 33% of the time
- Short underdogs (+1 to +3 on the spread) win outright 43% of the time, offering better value on the moneyline than the spread
- Underdogs in lower scoring road games (less than 42 total points) win outright 39% of the time, but often at better prices than this record suggests.
2025-26 NFL Schedule
This will be the 106th season in league history and is set to kick off with the NFL Kick-Off game on Thursday, September 4, hosted by the defending Super Bowl Champions Philadelphia Eagles, who take on the Dallas Cowboys. The regular season will come to a conclusion on January 4, 2026 with the NFL Playoffs scheduled to begin the following weekend on the 10th, 11th & 12th of January 2026. Super Bowl LX is scheduled for February 8, 2026, at Levi’s Stadium in San Francisco, California, the home of the 49ers.
NFL Picks This Week
You can find our latest NFL picks this week, and every week of the season right here, for free. you can also find our NFL picks for each week below. Upon the conclusion of each week of the NFL season, our team does the analysis for the coming week, considering all the relevant stats and trends and utilising decades of experience for expert NFL picks all season long.
NFL Football Picks
Our NFL Football picks will be for every game throughout the regular season, with primetime games and the top matchups each week getting additional expert coverage which will extend to every playoff game. These NFL Football picks will come alongside analysis and the latest stats and trends to consider when betting. You can also find our NFL Best Bets for the top plays of the week and a confidence rating for our expert handicapper.
Looking for alternative football picks? then head to our College Football Picks page, where you’ll find the same level of expertise from the Pickswise handicapping team for all the headline games in the 2025 NCAA football season.
More Than Just NFL Football Picks
We also specialize in every major North American sport including the MLB, NBA, NHL, College Football, and College Basketball. Check out our site every day for some of the best bets in every major athletic contest and make sure to follow us on social media as well.
Statistical Approach to NFL Picks
It’s our goal to provide you with the best NFL picks in the market. Our expert handicappers are all specially selected and assessed prior to joining the team to ensure their analysis. experience and results are among the best in the industry. Each capper will put hours of research into each pick and many have built statistical models to find their moneyline, spread and over/under picks so you don’t have to. Check out all of our cappers’ free NFL picks here every week of the season.
Andrew Wilsher, Pickswise Managing Editor
