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Super Bowl 59 will feature a rematch of the same 2 teams that clashed just 2 years ago. A 38-35 barnburner, the Kansas City Chiefs won their 3rd Vince Lombardi Trophy on that day, despite a near-perfect game from Jalen Hurts and with Philadelphia leading at halftime. Patrick Mahomes even dealt with an injured ankle leading up to the title match. As usual, none of that mattered during the game’s most trying moments, as Mahomes and his colleagues made all the plays they needed to when it mattered most. 

We predict the same thing will happen again in Super Bowl LIX.

It’s easy to see why fans and bettors think this could be Philadelphia’s year. All-world running back Saquon Barkley has reinvigorated his career since leaving the Giants for the City of Brotherly Love, nearly breaking Eric Dickerson’s single-season rushing record (345 carries for 2,005 yards). Against Washington in the NFC Championship, he was the difference immediately, shedding off tackles and jetting ahead of the Commanders’ defense for a touchdown on his very first play from scrimmage. Jalen Hurts is protected by one of the NFL’s most sturdy offensive lines, and his receiving talent is as good as any in the league. 

On defense, the Eagles completely flipped the script after pitiful results last season. Philadelphia’s acclaimed General Manager, Howie Roseman, brought in veteran defensive coordinator, Vic Fangio, and the results are crystal clear. Aided by phenomenal efforts from defensive tackle Jalen Carter and supreme talent at all 3 levels, Philadelphia has kept 3 exceptional offenses (Packers, Rams and Commanders) to just 55 total points in 3 postseason contests. Full season, the Eagles are in 1st place in a slew of major defensive categories: opponent points per game, yards per game, yards per play and yards per pass (they’re pretty good against the run, too, permitting just 104.4 yards per game, ranked 8th). No matter how this game is analyzed, we have little doubt that the Chiefs will have their hands full.

If the Super Bowl was decided solely based on who’s done it better all season, the Eagles would have a stronger case. Kansas City just doesn’t show as well on paper, especially on offense. They’re 12th in points per game (23.2), 23rd in rush yards per game (103.9) and even their highly touted passing attack hasn’t been nearly as explosive this season; 19th in yards per pass (6.9) and 15th in passing yards per game (220.5). On defense they’re more legitimate — top-10 in opponent points per game, yards per game, points per play, yards per rush and red-zone touchdown percentage.

But like we’ve seen so many times in the past, what matters most is which quarterback can execute at the highest level when their team needs it most. Second to that is which defense will step up and make big-time plays in the clutch. In both cases, perhaps no franchise in NFL history is better equipped than Andy Reid’s Kansas City Chiefs. Mahomes is pure magic in critical moments, and defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo, arguably the greatest DC of all time, is supremely talented at disguising blitz packages and giving his players an edge when they need a big stop. Love them or hate them, the Kansas City Chiefs simply know how to win, and we’d be foolish to not put our money on their side once again.

Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl 59 prediction: Chiefs -1.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 2.5.

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