Ricky Dimon
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Quarterfinal spots will start being handed out at Wimbledon on Sunday. That’s right; despite all of the rain, darkness and curfews this week, we are getting toward the business end of the tournament. There is still more than a week to go, of course, but the draws are dwindling down and the number of matches on each order of play is shrinking.
Nonetheless, there are still plenty of options with which to work on Day 7. Here are my 3 best bets.
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Victoria Azarenka -1.5 games over Elina Svitolina (-115)
It will be a rare matchup between mothers when Victoria Azarenka and Elina Svitolina go head-to-head on Sunday. Of course, the birth of Azarenka’s son came 7 years ago and her comeback to tennis has been a success for the most part. The Belarusian has never got back to her prime level that resulted in pair of Australian Open titles (2012, 2013), but she is back up to #20 in the rankings.
As for Svitolina, she and husband Gael Monfils had their first child this past October. The Ukrainian has played well in limited work during her return to the game, but suddenly reaching the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam is a lot to ask. Moreover, and most importantly, this is a brutal matchup for Svitolina. She is 0-5 lifetime against Azarenka and 2-10 in total sets. It should also be noted that Azarenka is coming off a 6-2, 6-4 blowout of a previously red-hot Daria Kasatkina, so you have to like her chances.
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Lesia Tsurenko no sets won against Jessica Pegula (-136)
Lesia Tsurenko just played the match of the tournament — at least in terms of absurdity. In the third round against Ana Bogdan on Friday, the players went to 20-18 in the third-set tiebreaker. In total the contest lasted an outrageous 3 hours and 40 minutes and Tsurenko – as you might expect – was cramping at the end.
Now the 34-year-old Ukrainian has to get right back in gear to face an even tougher opponent in Pegula. Although the American is not necessarily at her best on grass, she is 5-1 on it so far this year with the loss being against Coco Gauff. Pegula was utterly dominant in round 2 and 3, so it’s clear that her confidence on the slick stuff is growing. Combine that with Tsurenko’s fatigue and this should be one-way traffic.
Andrey Rublev ML over Alexander Bublik (-117)
This isn’t the first grass-court encounter of the summer for Andrey Rublev and Alexander Bublik. They recently squared off in the Halle final and Bublik prevailed in a tight 3-setter. According to the odds, it is now an even matchup on paper following that result. In my opinion, that puts the value on Rublev. I know he just lost to Bublik, but he still leads the head-to-head series 3-1 and this is a Grand Slam we are talking about.
Rublev will be trying to reach his eighth major quarterfinal while Bublik had previously never even been to a fourth round. I’m just not sure the Kazakh can sustain a high enough level of serving over the course of a best-of-5 match that is required to defeat an opponent of Rublev’s caliber. On the Centre Court stage, I think revenge will be served.
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