Ricky Dimon
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Wimbledon action in the bottom half of the men’s singles draw resumes on Saturday, when Novak Djokovic and Taylor Fritz are back on the court. On the women’s side, Iga Swiatek and Ons Jabeur headline a jam-packed order of play.
Let’s take a look at the best bets to be made on the Day 6 schedule.
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Danielle Collins ML over Beatriz Haddad Maia (-140)
At the start of this season Collins announced her retirement effective at the end of 2024. Since that announcement she has been playing the best tennis of her life. The 30-year-old American won back-to-back tournaments in Miami and Charleston, helping propel her to a current ranking of #11. It is true that Collins has never done much of anything on grass, but the difference in current form likely more than offsets and surface advantage for the Haddad Maia – who has enjoyed some success on grass in the past. Collins boasts an amazing 38-11 match record this season, whereas Haddad Maia is a modest 18-17 with recent grass-court losses to Ekaterina Alexandrova in Berlin and Anna Blinkova in Bad Homburg. In this case it is best to back the all-around superior player and not worry too much about the surface.
Anna Kalinskaya ML over Liudmila Samsonova (+105)
Kalinskaya used to date Nick Kyrgios; now she is dating world #1 Jannik Sinner. Her tennis has improved just as much as her choices in romantic partners, as Kalinksaya – like Collins – is in by far the best form of her career this season. She owns a 27-12 record that includes runner-up performances in Dubai (hard courts) and Berlin (grass). The Russian’s loss to Jessica Pegula in Berlin is her only one on grass this summer and in that match she held four championship points. Samsonova is dangerous on grass, she has never really thrived on the biggest stages of the sport. She has made it to the Wimbledon fourth round once and has never been past that stage at any of the 4 majors. On the other hand, Kalinksaya was a quarterfinalist at the Aussie Open earlier this year. Give me the good value on AK as a small underdog.
Parlay: Ons Jabeur ML over Elina Svitolina (-120) and Taylor Fritz ML over Alejandro Tabilo
Jabeur has finished runner-up at Wimbledon each of the past 2 years. Even though she hasn’t been at her best in 2024, there is no reason to get off the bandwagon. Jabeur heated up with a quarterfinal run at the French Open and she has played well so far at the All-England Club. What’s new?!?! The Tunisian is an incredible 76-23 lifetime on grass. Meanwhile, Svitolina is 24-24 all time on this surface. As for the men’s leg of this parlay, Fritz is one of the hottest players on tour and continues to thrive on the lawn. Last week he became the first man to win the Eastbourne title 3 times. The American reached the Wimbledon quarterfinals 2 years ago and looks poised to make it at least that far this time around. Tabilo is also playing great, but he isn’t on the same level as Fritz – especially not on a fast surface.
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