With the season winding down it means there are games on Saturday and that kicks off this weekend with two games played between four AFC teams. Let’s break down everything you need to know about the two games so you can make some smart betting decisions.
Houston Texans @ New York Jets
On paper, this game is a huge mismatch and the Texans coming into this game as six-point favorites and the total at 41.5.
Houston Texans
The Houston Texans had won nine games in a row before having a slip up in their last game against the Indianapolis Colts. The Texans offense has been good for the most part this year but they really lean on their defense to have success.
The defense is giving up only 19.9 points per game and a big reason is they stop the run first. On the season they are only giving up 88.2 yards per game on the ground and that is going to be key in this game as they try to make Sam Darnold throw the ball a lot.
New York Jets
On the other side of this matchup is the New York Jets who have had a terrible season coming into this game with a 4-9 record, but they did win their last game against the Buffalo Bills.
On the offensive side of the ball, they are averaging 20.8 points per game but they have Sam Darnold back from injury and they hope he will continue to raise his play.
Trends
Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Texans are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in December.
Under is 13-6 in Texans last 19 games overall. Under is 12-4 in Texans last 16 vs. AFC. Over is 4-1 in Jets last 5 home games.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Cleveland Browns @ Denver Broncos
The Cleveland Browns and the Denver Broncos are the second game to kick off at altitude. The Broncos sit as three point favorites with the total set at 45.5.
Cleveland Browns
The Cleveland Browns have had some growing pains with Baker Mayfield so far this year but he is making this offense competitive. The Browns come into this game having won three of the last four games with the loss coming against the Texans.
The one place this team really struggles, especially on the road is on defense. So far this year they are giving up 29 points per game away from home.
Denver Broncos
Having a quarterback this year the Denver Broncos were supposed to turn the corner this season but so far that hasn’t been the case and they will look to move to .500 with a win in this game.
The defense has been good this year giving up only 21 points per game but the offense has let them down averaging only 22 points per game.
Trends
Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC. Browns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Broncos are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 vs. AFC. Under is 18-8 in Browns last 26 games on grass. Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 vs. AFC. Under is 5-0-1 in Broncos last 6 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
