UFC on ESPN 65: Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy picks, predictions and best bets: Tavares and Meerschaert Ends Quickly

Mar 7, 2020; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Gerald Meerschaert (red gloves) celebrates beating Deron Winn (blue gloves) during UFC 248 at T-Mobile Arena.
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Matthew Lowrimore

UFC

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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UFC on ESPN 65 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a UFC Featherweight fight between Josh Emmett and Lerone Murphy as the Main Event.

Here are our best bets for this UFC card, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card. Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC on ESPN 65 Main Card fights.

UFC on ESPN 65 Main Card Best Bets

Joanderson Brito Win by Finish over Pat Sabatini (-125)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.

The Co-Main Event at UFC on ESPN 65 will see Pat Sabatini take on Joanderson Brito in the UFC Featherweight division. Brito enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-4-1 and 6-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.02 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Brito is absorbing 2.70 strikes and has a striking defense of 44%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 3.08 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 68% and a takedown defense of 72%.

Brito is the overwhelming favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking at the method in which Brito could win. He has won his last 5 UFC fights by finish, while Sabatini has 2 losses by finish in his last 4 fights. For that reason, backing Brito to win by finish will be our best bet.

Read our full Pat Sabatini vs Joanderson Brito prediction

Changho Lee ML over Cortavious Romious

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 65 will see Cortavious Romious take on Changho Lee in the UFC Bantamweight division. Lee comes into this one with an MMA record of 10-1 and 3-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.90 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 70%. Lee absorbs 2.65 strikes and has a striking defense of 37%. He has also shown solid grappling ability, averaging 3.24 takedowns every 15 minutes. Lee has a takedown accuracy of 30% and a takedown defense of 38%.

Lee is the small favorite in this fight but still looks to be the best betting option. He is off to a perfect start in the UFC and has the better striking and grappling. As for Romious, he has already struggled in the UFC; therefore, backing Lee to win is the play.

Read our full Cortavious Romious vs. Changho Lee prediction

Brad Tavares vs. Gerald Meerschaert – Fight to go the Distance – No (+115)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 65 will see Brad Tavares take on Gerald Meerschaert in the UFC Middleweight division. Tavares enters with an MMA record of 20-11 and 15-10 in the UFC. As for Meerschaert, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 37-18 and 12-10 in the UFC.

With Tavares set as the heavy favorite, we will instead be looking for this fight to end inside the distance. Tavares has seen 2 of his last 4 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Meerschaert has seen 5 of his last 6 UFC fights do the same. Because of this, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our best bet.

Read our full Brad Tavares vs. Gerald Meerschaert prediction

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