Matthew Lowrimore
UFC on ESPN 64 takes place on Saturday at the Arena CDMX in Mexico. This card features a UFC Flyweight fight between Brandon Moreno and Steve Erceg as the Main Event.
Here are our best bets for this UFC card, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card. Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC on ESPN 64 Main Card fights.
UFC on ESPN 64 Main Card Best Bets
Manuel Torres ML over Drew Dober (-102)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
The Co-Main Event at UFC on ESPN 64 will see Manuel Torres take on Drew Dober in the UFC Lightweight division. Torres enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-3 and 4-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 7.17 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. Torres absorbs 4.53 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 2.26 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.1 submission attempts during the same period. Torres has a takedown accuracy of 66% and a takedown defense of 88%.
Dober is the slight favorite in this fight, but Torres looks to be a solid option to pull the upset. Torres has only lost one UFC fight, while Dober is 1-3 in his last 4 UFC fights. Further, Torres has the advantage in both striking and grappling. For that reason, backing Torres to win will be our best bet.
Read our full Manuel Torres vs Drew Dober prediction
David Martinez vs. Saimon Oliveira – Fight to go the Distance – No (-140)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 64 will see David Martinez take on Saimon Oliveira in the UFC Bantamweight division. For this fight, we will be looking at the fight to end inside the distance. Martinez has seen 9 of his 12 career fights end inside the distance, which includes 4 of his last 5 fights. As for Oliveira, he has seen 16 of his 23 career fights do the same, including 5 of his last 7 fights. Because the finish rate for both fighters has been high recently, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our best bet.
Read our full David Martinez vs. Saimon Oliveira prediction
Ronaldo Rodriguez ML over Kevin Borjas (-148)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing
The first fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 64 will see Ronaldo Rodriguez take on Kevin Borjas in the UFC Flyweight division. Rodriguez enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-2 and 2-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.13 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Rodriguez is absorbing 3.15 strikes and has a striking defense of 46%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.13 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.1 submission attempts during the same period. Rodriguez has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 64%.
Rodriguez is the moderate-sized favorite in this fight but still looks to be a solid betting option. Where he lacks in striking volume, he makes up for with his grappling. Because he has already had some success in the UFC, backing Rodriguez to win will be our best bet.
Read our full Ronaldo Rodriguez vs. Kevin Borjas prediction
