Matthew Lowrimore
UFC Fight Night 253 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a UFC Flyweight fight between Manel Kape and Asu Almabayev as the Main Event.
Here are our best bets for this UFC card, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card. Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC Fight Night 253 Main Card fights.
UFC Fight Night 253 Main Card Best Bets
Asu Almabayev ML over Manel Kape (+180)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 253 will see Manel Kape take on Asu Almabayev. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Almabayev enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-2 and 4-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.11 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. Almabayev absorbs 1.02 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 5.05 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.9 submission attempts during the same period. Almabayev has a takedown accuracy and takedown defense of 50%.
Kape is the clear favorite in this fight but Almabayev looks to be a solid option to pull the upset. Where Almabayev lacking in striking volume, he makes up for it with his elite grappling ability. Based on this, backing Almabayev to win and pull the upset will be our best bet.
Read our full Asu Almabayev vs. Manel Kape prediction
Cody Brundage vs. Julian Marquez – Over 1.5 Rounds (+114)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing
The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 253 will see Cody Brundage take on Julian Marquez. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. This fight is evenly matched with Marquez set as the slight favorite. Both fighters, however, have been inconsistent recently, going just 2-4 over their last 6 UFC fights. That said, Marquez has seen 4 of his last 5 UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Brundage has seen 2 of his last 4 UFC fights do the same. Because both fighters have been struggling, we are going to opt for this fight to last at least a few rounds and back the over 1.5 rounds as our best bet.
Read our full Cody Brundage vs. Julian Marquez prediction
Hyder Amil ML over William Gomis (+170)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 253 will see Hyder Amil take on William Gomis. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Amil enters this fight with an MMA record of 10-0 and 3-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 6.31 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 57%. Amil is absorbing 2.23 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling has been decent, averaging 0.64 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.9 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 33% and a takedown defense of 78%.
Gomis is the heavy favorite in the fight, however Amil looks to be a good betting option to pull the upset. Amil has a clear advantage in striking volume and while his grappling volume is less than that of Gomis, his submission ability has been better. Because of this, backing Amil to pull the upset will be our best bet.
Read our full Hyder Amil vs. William Gomis prediction
