Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 245 takes place on Saturday night at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a Middleweight between Anthony Hernandez and Michel Pereira as the Main Event.
Here are our best bets for this UFC card, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card. Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC Fight Night 245 Main Card fights.
UFC Fight Night 245 Main Card Best Bets
Anthony Hernandez ML over Michel Pereira (-135)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Anthony Hernandez enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-2 and he is 6-2 in the UFC. He averages 4.30 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 59%. Hernandez absorbs 3.46 strikes and has a striking defense of 45%. His grappling has been elite in the UFC, averaging 6.62 takedowns every 15 minutes and 3.0 submission attempts during the same period. Hernandez has a takedown accuracy of 49% and a takedown defense of 63%.
While this fight looks to be evenly matched, Hernandez looks to be the best betting option. Hernandez has superior striking and grappling, therefore backing him to win will be our best bet.
Read our full Anthony Hernandez vs. Michel Pereira prediction
Kyler Phillips Win by Decision over Rob Font (-135)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Kyler Phillips enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-2 and he is 7-1 in the UFC. He averages 5.72 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Phillips absorbs 3.38 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.41 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 46% and a takedown defense of 75%.
Phillips is the overwhelming favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking at how Phillips will win this fight. Phillips has won his last 2 fights by decision and 3 of his last 4 fights have also been by this method. Rob Font, on the other hand, has lost 4 of his last 5 UFC fights and all 4 of these losses were by decision. Because of this, backing Phillips to win by decision will be our best bet.
Read our full Kyler Phillips vs. Rob Font prediction
Darren Elkins ML over Daniel Pineda (-108)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Darren Elkins enters this fight with an MMA record of 28-11 and he is 18-10 in the UFC. He averages 3.44 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 38%. Elkins absorbs 3.27 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling ability has been solid, averaging 2.85 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.1 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 35% and a takedown defense of 56%.
Daniel Pineda is a small favorite in this fight, but because he has been inconsistent in the UFC, we will instead be looking at Elkins. Pineda is just 2-5 in his last 7 UFC fights, while Elkins is 4-3 over the same stretch. Elkins also has superior striking and grappling, therefore backing him to win will be our best bet.
Read our full Darren Elkins vs. Daniel Pineda prediction
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