UFC Fight Night 242: Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady picks, predictions and best bets: Brady Improves his Welterweight Rank

Feb 29, 2020; Norfolk, Virginia, USA; Sean Brady (red gloves) celebrates beating Ismail Naurdiev (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Chartway Arena.
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Matthew Lowrimore

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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UFC Fight Night 242 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a welterweight fight between Gilbert Burns and Sean Brady as the Main Event and a women’s flyweight fight between Jessica Andrade and Natalia Silva as the Co-Main Event.

Here are our best bets for this UFC card, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card. Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC Fight Night 242 Main Card fights.

UFC Fight Night 242 Main Card Best Bets

Sean Brady ML over Gilbert Burns (-175)

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 242 will see Gilbert Burns take on Sean Brady in the UFC Welterweight division.

Brady enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-1 and 6-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.77 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. Brady is absorbing 3.55 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. He has also been an elite grappler, averaging 3.29 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.2 submission attempts during the same period. Brady’s takedown accuracy is 57% and his takedown defense is 87%.

While Brady is the heavy favorite in this fight, he still looks to be the best bet. Brady has a clear edge in both striking and grappling while also having been much more consistent in the UFC. Because of this, backing Brady to win will be our best bet.

Read our full Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady prediction

Steve Garcia ML over Kyle Nelson (-175)

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 242 will see Steve Garcia take on Kyle Nelson in the UFC Featherweight division.

Garcia enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-5 and 6-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.00 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. Garcia is absorbing 2.51 strikes and has a striking defense of 46%. His grappling is decent as well, averaging 1.27 takedowns every 15 minutes. Garcia’s takedown accuracy is 40% and his takedown defense is 88%.

Garcia is the heavy favorite in this fight but still looks to be the best bet. He has the clear edge in striking and while his grappling has not been as strong, his takedown defense should cancel out any advantage Nelson may have. Because of this, backing Garcia to win will be our best bet.

Read our full Steve Garcia vs. Kyle Nelson prediction

Trevor Peek ML over Yanal Ashmouz (-125)

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 242 will see Trevor Peek take on Yanal Ashmouz in the UFC Lightweight division.

Peek enters this fight with an MMA record of 9-2 and 3-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.58 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Peek is absorbing 4.17 strikes and has a striking defense of 44%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.82 takedowns every 15 minutes. Peek has a takedown accuracy of 53% and a takedown defense of 54%.

Peek is the slight favorite in the fight and looks to be the best betting option. He has a strong advantage in striking and grappling and has more experience in the UFC. Because of this, backing Peek to win will be our best bet.

Read our full Trevor Peek vs. Yanal Ashmouz prediction

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