Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 241 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a featherweight fight between Edson Barboza and Lerone Murphy as the Main Event. Here are our best bets, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card.
Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC Fight Night 241 Main Card fights.
UFC Fight Night 241 Main Card Best Bets
Lerone Murphy ML over Edson Barboza (-148)
The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 241 will see Edson Barboza take on Lerone Murphy in the UFC Featherweight division. Murphy comes into this fight with an MMA record of 13-0-1 and he is 5-0-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.65 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Murphy is absorbing 2.40 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling is solid, averaging 1.29 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 46% and his takedown defense is 46%.
Murphy is the moderate-sized favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the side worth backing. Aside from the fact that he has never lost in the UFC, Murphy also has the clear edge in grappling and Barboza is an inconsistent 2-2 in his last 4 fights. Because of this, backing Murphy to win will be our best bet.
Khaos Williams vs. Carlston Harris – Over 1.5 Rounds (-160)
The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 241 will see Khaos Williams take on Carlston Harris in the UFC Welterweight division. Williams comes into this fight with an MMA record of 14-3 and he is 5-2 in the UFC. On the other side, Harris comes into this fight with an MMA record of 19-5 and he is 4-1 in the UFC.
Williams is the small favorite, but with both fighters having had success in the UFC, instead we will be looking at a total rounds prop. Harris has seen each of his last 2 fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Williams has seen each of this last 5 UFC fights do the same. Because of this, backing over 1.5 rounds in the Co-Main Event on Saturday night will be our best bet.
Luana Pinheiro ML over Angela Hill (+120)
The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 241 will see Luana Pinheiro take on Angela Hill in the UFC Women’s Strawweight division. Pinheiro comes into this fight with an MMA record of 11-2 and she is 4-1 in the UFC. Pinheiro is averaging 3.89 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. She is absorbing 4.38 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. Her grappling has been elite so far, averaging 2.36 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 40% and her takedown defense is 66%.
Angela Hill is the favorite in this fight, but her inconsistencies in the UFC is a cause for concern. Pinheiro, on the other hand, has proven to be a much better grappler and is in better form overall. For that reason, backing Pinheiro to win will be our best bet.
