Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 239 takes place on Saturday at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a heavyweight fight between Tai Tuivasa and Marcin Tybura as the Main Event. Here are our best bets for this UFC card, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card.
Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC Fight Night 239 Main Card fights.
UFC Fight Night 239 Main Card Best Bets
Tai Tuivasa over Marcin Tybura (-118)
Tai Tuivasa comes into this fight with an MMA record of 15-6 and he is 8-6 in the UFC. Tuivasa is averaging 3.98 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. He is absorbing 4.98 strikes and has a striking defense of 43%. Tuivasa has not shown any grappling ability, and has a takedown defense of 54%.
This fight is very even, with Tuivasa set as the slight favorite. Tuivasa has lost 3 fights in a row, but Marcin Tybura has not been very consistent either. Tuivasa has the better striking, therefore backing him to snap his losing streak and win this fight will be our best bet.
Ovince Saint Preux vs. Kennedy Nzechukwu – Fight to Start Round 2 (-125)
The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 239 will see Ovince Saint Preux take on Kennedy Nzechukwu in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. Saint Preux comes into this fight with an MMA record of 26-17 and he is 20-13 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.71 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. He is absorbing 3.14 strikes and has a striking defense of 46%. His grappling is decent, averaging 1.15 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 38% and his takedown defense is 66%.
Nzechukwu comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-4 and he is 8-4 in the UFC. Nzechukwu is averaging 4.86 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. He is absorbing 4.27 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. Nzechukwu’s grappling has been decent, averaging 0.68 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 80%.
Nzechukwu is by far the biggest favorite on this card, therefore his money line is not worth the risk. Instead, we will be looking at a round prop for this fight. Nzechukwu has seen 4 of his last 5 fight go at least to round 2, while Saint Preux has seen 8 of his last 9 fights start round 2. Based on the fact that the majority of their recent fights have started round 2, backing this fight to do the same will be our play.
Isaac Dulgarian ML over Christian Rodriguez (-180)
Isaac Dulgarian comes into this fight with an MMA record of 6-0 and he is 1-0 in the UFC. Dulgarian is averaging 7.29 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 66%. He is absorbing 0.42 strikes and has a striking defense of 71%. Dulgarian is also proving to be an elite grappler, averaging 3.13 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 100% and he has not had to defend a takedown so far in the UFC.
Even though Dulgarian is set as the heavy favorite, he looks to be the right side. He has the superior striking and grappling, therefore backing Dulgarian to win will be our best bet.
