Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 235 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a middleweight fight between Roman Dolidze and Nassourdine Imavov as the Main Event. Here are our best bets for this UFC card.
Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the main-card fights.
UFC Fight Night 235 Main Card Best Bets
Roman Dolidze ML over Nassourdine Imavov (+142)
Roman Dolidze comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-2. He is 6-2 in the UFC, most recently losing to Marvin Vettori by unanimous decision back in March of 2023. Dolidze is averaging 3.02 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. He is absorbing 3.01 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. Dolidze’s grappling has also been solid, averaging 1.72 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.7 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 50% and his takedown defense is 33%.
Imavov comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-4. He is 4-2 in the UFC, most recently losing to Sean Strickland by unanimous decision back in January of 2023. Imavov is averaging 4.55 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. He is absorbing 3.76 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling has been decent, averaging just 1.09 takedowns per every 15 minutes, and 1.7 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 31%, but his takedown defense is 72%.
Imavov is a heavy favorite, but Dolidze looks to be a solid underdog to back. His striking volume is not as good compared to Imavov, but his grappling is superior, therefore backing Dolidze to win will be our best bet.
Renato Moicano ML over Drew Dober (-185)
Renato Moicano comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-5-1. He is 9-5 in the UFC, most recently beating Brad Riddell by submission back in November of 2022. Moicano is averaging 4.75 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. He is absorbing 4.07 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.66 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Moicano has a takedown accuracy of 46% and a takedown defense of 74%.
Moicano is a heavy favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the right side. He has the better striking and grappling compared to Dober, therefore backing Moicano to win will be our lean.
Aliaskhab Khizriev ML over Makhmud Muradov (-148)
Aliaskhab Khizriev comes into this fight with an MMA record of 14-0. He is 2-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Denis Tiuliulin by submission back in March of 2022. Khizriev is averaging 6.03 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 64%. He is absorbing 4.36 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. He will be looking to grapple, averaging 5.77 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 3.9 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 60% and he has a takedown defense of 100%.
Khizriev is a moderate-sized favorite, but one that should be worth a play. He has the better striking and the better grappling, therefore backing Khizriev to win will be our best bet.
