Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 233 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a bantamweight fight between Song Yadong and Chris Gutierrez as the Main Event. Here are our best bets for this UFC card. Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
UFC Fight Night 233 Main Card Best Bets
Song Yadong vs. Chris Gutierrez – Fight to go the Distance – No (-125)
Song Yadong comes into fight with an MMA record of 20-7-1 and he is 9-2-1 in the UFC. Yadong is averaging 4.61 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 42%. He is absorbing 3.77 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%.
Chris Gutierrez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 20-5-2 and he is 8-2-1 in the UFC. Gutierrez is averaging 5.04 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 57%. He is absorbing 2.73 strikes and has a striking defense of 65%.
Yadong is a heavy favorite in this fight, therefore I will be looking for this fight to end inside the distance. Yadong has seen each of his last 4 fight end by finish, while Gutierrez has seen 2 of his last 4 fights do the same. Because both fighters have had a solid finish rate recently, backing this fight to end inside the distance is my best bet.
Tim Elliot ML over Sumudaerji (-130)
Tim Elliot comes into this fight with an MMA record of 20-13-1 and he is 8-11 in the UFC. Elliot is averaging 3.41 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. He is absorbing 2.67 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 3.73 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.0 submission attempts during the same time period.
Elliot is the small favorite in this fight and looks to be the right side. He is a much more experienced UFC fighter, and while he does not have the edge in striking, he certainly does in grappling. Because of his ability to control a fight on the ground, backing Elliot to win is the move.
JunYong Park vs. Andre Muniz – Fight to go the Distance – No (-225)
JunYong Park comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-5 and he is 7-2 in the UFC. Park is averaging 4.94 strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. He is absorbing 3.66 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. Park is a solid grappler as well, averaging 2.10 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.2 submission attempts during the same time period.
Andre Muniz comes into this fight with an MMA record of 23-6 and he is 7-2 in the UFC. Muniz is averaging 2.17 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He is absorbing 2.03 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. As for his grappling, Muniz is averaging 2.97 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.5 submission attempts during the same time period.
For this fight, I will be looking for a finish. JunYong Park has seen 14 of his 22 career fights end inside the distance, which includes 4 of his last 5 UFC fights. Andre Muniz on the other hand, has seen 25 of his 29 career fights end inside the distance, including 5 of his last 6 UFC fights. Because both fighters have extremely high finish rates, backing this fight to also end inside the distance is the way to go.
