Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 230 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a featherweight fight between Sodiq Yusuff and Edson Barboza as the Main Event.
Here is my favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +487 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
Sodiq Yusuff ML over Edson Barboza (-180)
Sodiq Yusuff comes into this fight with an MMA record of 13-2. He is 7-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Don Shainis by submission back in October of 2022. Yusuff is averaging 5.29 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. He is absorbing 3.65 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling has not been much of a factor, averaging just 0.18 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 12% and his takedown defense is 70%.
Yusuff is a heavy favorite in this fight, but he still looks to be the right side. Yusuff has been much more consistent in the UFC, going 7-1 in his last 8 UFC fights. Edson Barboza on the other hand, is 3-5 in his last 8 UFC fights. Yusuff also has the superior striking, therefore backing him to win will be my play.
Jennifer Maia vs. Viviane Araujo – Fight to End by Unanimous Decision (-225)
Jennifer Maia is a moderate-sized favorite, but the most likely result is that this fight will end by unanimous decision. Maia has seen 10 of her 11 fights end by unanimous decision, while Viviane Araujo has seen 8 of her 9 UFC fights end by the same method. Because of that, also backing this fight to end by unanimous decision will be the play.
Edgar Chairez vs. Daniel Lacerda – Fight to end by KO/TKO (+100)
Edgar Chairez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-5. He is 0-2 in the UFC, most recently losing to Tatsuro Taira by unanimous decision back in July of this year. Chairez is averaging 2.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. He is absorbing 4.26 strikes and has a striking defense of 41%.
Daniel Lacerda comes into this fight with an MMA record of 11-5. He is 0-4 in the UFC, most recently losing to CJ Vergara by KO/TKO back in March of this year. Lacerda is averaging 4.16 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 47%. He is absorbing 8.70 strikes and has a striking defense of 34%.
Chairez is too large of a favorite to back, so instead I will look at the method of victory. Lacerda has seen 4 of his last 5 UFC fights end by KO/TKO, while Chairez has also seen several of his fights end by this method. For that reason, backing this fight to end by KO/TKO will be the play.
Tainara Lisboa ML over Ravena Oliveira (-325)
Tainara Lisboa comes into this fight with an MMA record of 6-2. She is 1-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Jessica Rose-Clark by submission back in May of this year. Lisboa is averaging 2.93 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. She is absorbing 1.81 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. Her grappling is also solid, averaging 1.05 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.1 submission attempts during the same time period. Lisboa’s takedown accuracy is 50% and her takedown defense is 85%.
Lisboa is the significant favorite in this fight, but because Ravena Oliveira has never fought in the UFC, backing Lisboa is the move.
You can also read our UFC Fight Night 230 Best Bets
