Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 228 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a lightweight fight between Rafael Fiziev and Mateusz Gamrot as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +442 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
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Andre Fialho vs Tim Means – Fight to go the Distance – No (-225)
Andre Fialho is the heavy favorite in this fight, but both he and Tim Means are 0-3 in their last three UFC fights. Because of that, we will look to the fight to end inside the distance. Means has seen two of his last three fights end inside the distance, while Fialho has seen his last five fights in a row do the same. Because of this, also backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our play.
Bryan Battle vs AJ Fletcher – Fight to go the Distance – No (-175)
Bryan Battle is the heavy favorite in this fight, but AJ Fletcher has also been good enough to consider him a live dog. Fletcher has seen nine of his 12 career fights end inside the distance, while Battle has seen eight of his 11 fights do the same. Because both fighters have a high finish rate, backing this fight to also end inside the distance will be our lean.
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Marina Rodriguez win by decision over Michelle Waterson-Gomez (-165)
Marina Rodriguez is a significant favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the right side. The last time these two ladies fought, Rodriguez won by decision. Look for the same here as Michelle Waterson-Gomez is 1-5 in her last six fights and has lost four of these fights by decision.
Bryce Mitchell ML over Dan Ige (-205)
Bryce Mitchell comes into this fight with an MMA record of 15-2. He is 6-1 in the UFC, most recently losing to Ilia Topuria by submission in December 2022. Mitchell is averaging 2.48 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 59%. He is absorbing 1.71 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling has been much more prominent, averaging 3.26 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.7 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 44% and his takedown defense is 33%.
Mitchell is a heavy favorite in this fight and does look to be the right side. Dan Ige has been far too inconsistent in the UFC recently, going just 2-3 in his last five fights. Mitchell also has the superior grappling, therefore backing him to win will be our lean and using him in a parlay will be our recommended play.
You can also read our UFC Fight Night 228 Best Bets
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