Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 299 takes place on Saturday at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. This card features a bantamweight title fight between Sean O’Malley and Marlon Vera as the Main Event. Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for this UFC card, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card and 1 fight on the Preliminary Card.
Here is my favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +790 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
Sean O’Malley ML over Marlon Vera (-278)
Sean O’Malley comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-1 and he is 9-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 7.25 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 61%. He is absorbing 3.51 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling is not super strong, averaging only 0.43 takedowns per every 15 minutes. O’Malley’s takedown accuracy is 42% and his takedown defense is 62%.
O’Malley is the heavy favorite in this fight, which is fair considering he holds the Bantamweight title. This is also a rematch between these two fighters, where Marlon Vera won by KO/TKO back in 2020. O’Malley has improved significantly since that time and has been dominant. He is the superior striker in this fight, so despite the heavy price, backing O’Malley to retain his title will be our play.
Dustin Poirier ML over Benoit Saint-Denis (+170)
Dustin Poirier comes into this fight with an MMA record of 29-8 and he is 22-8 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.49 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He is absorbing 4.30 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.36 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.2 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 36% and his takedown defense is 63%.
Benoit Saint-Denis is the clear favorite in this fight, but Poirier is a seasoned veteran and should be considered a live dog. Poirier has been a little inconsistent, but is still one of the best Lightweight fighters in the UFC, making him our lean for this fight.
Jack Della Maddalena ML over Gilbert Burns (-162)
Jack Della Maddalena comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-2 and he is 7-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 7.20 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. Della Maddalena is absorbing 4.83 strikes and has a striking defense of 67%. His grappling will likely not play a huge factor, averaging 0.27 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 20% and a takedown defense of 82%.
Della Maddalena is a heavy favorite in this fight and for good reason as he is perfect in the UFC. His striking is significantly better than Gilbert Burns and Burns has been inconsistent in the UFC as of recently. For that reason, backing Della Maddalena to win will be our play.
Maycee Barber ML over Katlyn Cerminara (-205)
Maycee Barber comes into this fight with an MMA record of 13-2 and she is 9-2 in the UFC. Barber is averaging 4.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. She is absorbing 2.72 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. Her grappling is decent as well, averaging 1.14 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 35%, but her takedown defense is 45%.
Barber is the clear favorite in this fight and given that she has won her last 5 UFC fights in a row and has the advantage in grappling, backing her to win will be our play.
You can also read our expert’s UFC 299 best bets
