UFC 298: Alexander Volkanovski vs Ilia Topuria predictions & four-fight parlay (+338 odds): Merab Dvalishvili secures significant win

Sep 25, 2021; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Merab Dvalishvili celebrates his TKO victory against Marlon Moraes during UFC 266 at T-Mobile Arena.
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Matthew Lowrimore

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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UFC 298 takes place on Saturday at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California. This card features a featherweight title fight between Alexander Volkanovski and Ilia Topuria as the Main Event. Here are our best bets for this UFC card, which will include three fights on the Main Card and one on the Preliminary Card.

Here is my favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +338 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.

Ian Garry ML over Geoff Neal (-230)

Ian Garry comes into this fight with an MMA record of 13-0. He is 6-0 in the UFC. Garry is averaging 6.67 significant strikes per minute and he has a striking accuracy of 56%. He is absorbing 3.58 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. He has shown limited grappling ability, averaging 0.67 takedown per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 75% and a takedown defense of 69%.

Garry is a heavy favorite, but the value still looks good. Not only is he perfect in his MMA career, but he also has superior striking and grappling ability. For that reason, backing Garry to win will be our lean.

Merab Dvalishvili ML over Henry Cejudo (-218)

Merab Dvalishvili comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-4 and he is 9-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.46 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. He is absorbing 2.41 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling is elite, averaging 6.55 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Dvalishvili has a takedown accuracy of 36% and a takedown defense of 78%.

Dvalishvili is the clear favorite in this fight and while Henry Cejudo is a former title holder, Dvalishvili has outstanding grappling, making him our play for this fight.

Alexander Hernandez ML over Roman Kopylov (-245)

Anthony Hernandez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 11-2 and he is 5-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.33 significant strikes per minute, and has a striking accuracy of 62%. Hernandez is absorbing 3.36 strikes and has a striking defense of 46%. His grappling is also an important part of his fighting style, as he is averaging 6.79 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 2.9 submission attempts during the same time period. Hernandez has a takedown accuracy of 57% and has a takedown defense of 63%.

While Hernandez is the heavy favorite, he simply looks to be the more consistent fighter and has elite grappling. For that reason, backing Hernandez to win will be our play.

Danny Barlow ML over Josh Quinlan (-205)

Danny Barlow comes into this fight with an MMA record of 7-0. He is 1-0 in the UFC, but this was a win in the Dana White Contender Series and therefore, this will be his official UFC debut. Barlow is averaging 12.15 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 57%. He is absorbing 5.32 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%.

Barlow is a heavy favorite in this fight, and even though this is his UFC debut, he looks to be worth backing.  Josh Quinlan has been slightly inconsistent to start his UFC career, while Barlow has already shown some elite striking ability. Because of that, backing Barlow to win will be our play.

You can also read our expert’s UFC 298 best bets

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