Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 293 takes place on Saturday at the Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia. This card features a middleweight title fight between Israel Adesanya and Sean Strickland as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC 293 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC 293 predictions for picks on every Main Card and Preliminary Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
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UFC 293 Preliminary Card Best Bets
Carlos Ulberg Win by KO/TKO over Da Woon Jung (-135)
Carlos Ulberg comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-1. He is 5-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Ihor Potieria by KO/TKO back in May of this year. Ulberg is averaging 8.13 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 62%. He is absorbing 3.45 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 0.92 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 100% and his takedown defense is also 100%.
Carlos Ulberg is the heavy favorite, but does look to be the best play. He has won 6 of his 8 career fights by KO/TKO, including each of his last 3 fights. For that reason, backing Ulberg to win by KO/TKO will be our best bet.
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Nasrat Haqparast vs Landon Quinones – Fight to end by Unanimous Decision (+110)
Nasrat Haqparast is one of the biggest favorites on this card, so backing his money line is too risky. Instead, we will look at how this fight will end. Haqparast has seen his last 5 fights end by unanimous decision, so because this is the UFC debut for Landon Quinones, backing this fight to end by unanimous decision will be our play.
Gabriel Miranda ML over Shane Young (+136)
Gabriel Miranda comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-6. He is 0-1 in the UFC, most recently losing to Benoit Saint Denis by KO/TKO back in September of 2022. Miranda is averaging 3.80 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. He is absorbing 7.97 strikes and has a striking defense of 37%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.85 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 33% and he has not defended a takedown in the UFC.
Shane Young is the medium-sized favorite, but has been far too inconsistent in the UFC. He is 0-3 alone in his last 3 fights, while Miranda is 3-1 in his last 4 fights. Miranda has won all of his fights by finish, so backing him to pull the upset here will be our lean.
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