Today's best NBA prop bet pick & predictions, Tuesday 11/14: Zion Williamson takes a back seat

New Orleans Pelicans forward Zion Williamson (1) looks on during the first quarter against the Phoenix Suns at Smoothie King Center.
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Now that Monday’s 4-game slate is out of the way, Tuesday is where the real fun is. The NBA has gifted us with a 10-game slate that has a ton of value on the board. Let’s dive into our top NBA player prop bets for the games on Tuesday, November 14. You can also read our NBA predictions for each of tonight’s matchups.

Zion Williamson, NOP, Under 38.5 points + rebounds + assists (-125)

Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

It doesn’t seem Zion Williamson is having fun in New Orleans. In his presser on Monday, Williamson made it clear that it’s difficult for him to “take a back seat” and that he’s “trying his best to buy in”. That’s not what you want to hear from your number one overall pick that you signed for nearly $200 million. Tonight, against the Dallas Mavericks, Williamson will look to bounce back and potentially surpass this total for just the second time all season — good luck!

The Pelicans continue to be cautious with Williamson, which has resulted in him playing 31 minutes per game this season — his lowest since his rookie season. The Pelicans’ injury report is extensive, and they’ll ask a ton out of Williamson tonight, but this line is too high. The Mavericks held Williamson to 24 PRA last game. Even with a great matchup against Dallas and the In-Season Tournament being a factor, I’ll side with the under.

Read our full Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions

Aaron Gordon, DEN, Under 4.5 assists (-125)

Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

After cashing Aaron Gordon’s over on PRA on Sunday, I’m switching it up and fading him in this nicely priced spot on DraftKings compared to the rest of the market. Gordon has played and will continue to play a vital role in the Denver Nuggets offense without Jamal Murray, who is sidelined with a hamstring injury. Gordon is averaging 15 points on 53% from the field in the three games without Murray this season. But we’re not fading him for a scoring or rebounding perspective — we know he can fill up the stat sheet in that department. Instead, we’re fading his assists at 4.5.

His opponent tonight will be the star-studded Los Angeles Clippers, who are 0-4 with James Harden. As a 76ers fan, I’m laughing. Anyway, Gordon has a tall task in front of him. He will be assigned either Kawhi Leonard or Paul George on the defensive end — two guys that will make him work every trip on that end. On the offensive end, where it matters for this player prop bet, Gordon has been extremely efficient in converting his assists. It’s almost too efficient. In his last game, Gordon recorded 5 assists on 6 opportunities. In the 3 games without Murray, he’s averaging 7.5 assist opportunities. We’ll tip our cap if his Nuggets teammates can continue to convert on over 70% of Gordon’s assist opportunities, but I’m siding with the under here.

Check out our Clippers vs Nuggets Same Game Parlay for tonight’s matchup

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