JutPicks
The 15-game slate on Sunday to conclude the regular season is going to be a doozy. The Eastern Conference playoff picture is already finalized. Meanwhile, the 4-10 seeds in the Western Conference are still up for grabs. Be cautious in your approach heading into the Sunday slate. Sportsbooks will have a very soft approach today- So don’t be surprised if you see limited lines on role players in games that do not affect the standings. Let’s dive into the best NBA player prop bet for Sunday, April 13.
You can also find out our expert NBA picks for today’s big games.
Aaron Gordon (DEN) Over 4.5 rebounds (-110)
Odds available at Bet365 Sportsbook at time of publishing
Aaron Gordon burned us on Friday after not cashing the over of his 8.5 rebounds+assists prop, but he played a team-high 41 minutes and reeled in 4 rebounds in the final quarter. That’s encouraging enough for me to make this a play – Especially at a price of -110 on Bet365 and -115 on ESPN while FanDuel and DraftKings are down to -125.
A Nuggets win guarantees them the #4 seed in the Western Conference. A home playoff series being up for grabs means Gordon is in line for massive minutes. Will the #4 seed ultimately lead to a showdown versus the Oklahoma City Thunder in the 2nd round? Most likely. But this is a game the Nuggets want versus a Rockets squad that has already locked up the #2 seed.
Gordon has cashed his rebounding prop at a 58% clip with the Nuggets at full strength. When filtering the games where Gordon has played 25+ minutes and with the starting lineup in tack, his hit rate moves to 79%.
