Today's Best NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Monday 12/16: Walker Kessler rules the paint

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Germantas Kneita

NBA

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Like most Lithuanians, I started watching basketball from the age of six. I'm based out in London and played basketball at the University of Lincoln here in the UK. I had always had an interest in the NBA but things really took off in the summer of 2010. That year Linas Kleiza led Lithuania to 3rd place at the World Championships and signed with the Toronto Raptors to replace the departing Chris Bosh. I've been a Raptors fan since that day and I've not missed a game since. I've been handicapping games for more than a decade, specializing in player props. For Germantas Kneita media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Tomorrow we will see the conclusion of the NBA Cup, as the Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Milwaukee Bucks in Las Vegas. But until then, we have a 6-game slate on our hands on Monday night. The Eastern Conference-leading Cleveland Cavaliers will be in action, as will the Philadelphia 76ers – a team that is desperate to get their season back on track. You can find out our NBA picks for tonight’s biggest matchups, but for now, let’s take a look at my best NBA player prop picks below.

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Andre Drummond (PHI) over 21.5 points & rebounds (-115)

Andre Drummond’s last game with over 20 combined points and rebounds came against this very Charlotte Hornets team. With Joel Embiid remaining out, look for him to play a larger role once more here. There should be no shortage of misses for Drummond to grab, with the Hornets just 28th in offensive rating over the last 10 games. He will be matched up against Mark Williams and Nick Richards, both of whom he will have a bulk advantage over. Do not expect either to win many battles for rebounding position against him. At the same time, both of the Hornets centers have limited range, meaning Drummond should be able to sit back in the paint here. Scoring wise, he should be able to generate enough looks through offensive rebounds. Look for Drummond to put together a strong line here.

RJ Barrett (TOR) over 14.5 assists & rebounds (+105)

With Scottie Barnes going down for the Toronto Raptors and Immanuel Quickley yet not ready to return, the Canadian team will be in the hands of one of their own in RJ Barrett. He delivered beautifully in his last outing against the Miami Heat, recording a triple-double in the process. He is now on pace to have his best career year in both rebounds and assists, managing 6.8 and 6 per game, respectively. With added usage, look for those numbers to take a further jump here. Over the last 10 games, the Bulls are just 22nd in defensive rating. Considering they are 2nd in pace, with the Raptors also 10th in that category during that time, he should have no shortage of possessions to stuff the stat sheet. Nikola Vucevic is also making 50% of his 3-point attempts this month. It should force the Raptors leading rebounder Jakob Poeltl to close him down on the perimeter, putting more emphasis on players like Barrett to collect rebounds. Look for him to be a triple-double threat once more.

Walker Kessler (UTA) over 9.5 rebounds (-120)

Walker Kessler had been on a great rebounding streak for the Utah Jazz, which came to an end in his last outing when he pulled down just 5 boards against the Phoenix Suns. Prior to this, he had recorded double-digit rebounds in 6 straight games. Considering he is having the best rebounding season of his career, averaging 10.7 per game, do not be surprised to see him bounce back here. He will be up against a Clippers squad that is 22nd in rebounding percentage over the last 10 games. During that same stretch they are just 21st in offensive rebounds per game, too – meaning they don’t look to chase their own misses often. It should leave the Jazz center to clean up on the defensive glass, especially going up against a center with limited shooting range in Ivica Zubac. Kessler will be well positioned to man the paint all night.

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