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Don’t forget about the NBA on Sunday. After a 2-0 day yesterday, I have a great player prop bet for you. Let’s dive into our top NBA player prop bet for games on Sunday, December 17. Also make sure you also read our NBA predictions for today’s games.
Giannis Antetokounmpo, PF, MIL Under 5.5 assists (-125)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Well, this one isn’t going to be fun to sweat, but trust me, this is as good a spot to fade Giannis Antetokounmpo as there is. Antetokounmpo and the Bucks will play host to the defensive-sound Houston Rockets, who rank in the top two in the NBA in defensive efficiency. They’re headlined by Fred VanVleet, who leads the league in defensive win shares, and Dillon Brooks and Alperen Sengun, who rank in the top 25.
Let’s dive into the Bucks side. There’s talk that Khris Middleton will potentially be inserted into the starting lineup. This means more usage and the ball in his hands. When Middleton and Damian Lillard play with Antetokounmpo, he’s stayed under the six assist mark in 11 of 17 games. Again, if there’s ever a time to fade Antetokounmpo from a playmaking standpoint, it’s now. The Rockets allow the third fewest assists to the power forward position and the fewest assists per game overall. We will trust our numbers, especially with the best price coming in at -125 on DraftKings, while the FanDuel has vig on the under at -142.
