Today's Best NBA Prop Bet Pick & Prediction, Saturday 3/9: Jalen Duren finds success at home

Cade Cunningham and Jalen Duren of the Detroit Pistons
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Between the NBA and college basketball, the slate is loaded for Saturday with action all day long. Let’s dive into my top NBA player prop bet for Saturday.

Make sure you also read our NBA predictions for today’s matchups.

Jalen Duren, C, DET, Over 26.5 points+rebounds+assists (-123)

Odds available at Caesars Sportsbook at time of publishing.

This prop has already moved on FanDuel to 27.5, and I expect other books to follow. This season, Jalen Duren has been one of the few bright spots for the Detroit Pistons. He is, without question, the big man of the future, and he has a tasty matchup at home against the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday night. The Duren and Cade Cunningham duo is one Pistons fans will hope to see for years. Speaking of Cunningham, his assists numbers have been off the charts as of late. He’s averaging over 8 assists per game in his last 5, with Duren being a significant catalyst. Duren is averaging over 2 field goals made off of Cunningham’s passes during that span.

The question with Duren is foul trouble. He ranks in the top 5 in fouls per game and has topped at least 5 in 3 of his last 10 games. But with Daniel Gafford starting at center for the Mavs and being a screener and a lob threat, the hope is that Duren keeps his hands to himself. Without fouls, I expect Duren to top at least 28 minutes tonight. In the 35 games this season that Duren has seen 28+ minutes, he’s over this line in 27 of them.

Don’t miss our NBA mega parlay for today’s matchups at +949 odds!

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