JutPicks
Show Bio
The Indiana Pacers and Denver Nuggets will look to tie up their series after both took respective Game 3s. Let’s dive into my best NBA player prop bets for Saturday, May 11, while you can also check out our NBA picks for both games.
Donte DiVincenzo, NY, Under 4.5 three-pointers (-114)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing
We’re taking a market-based approach for the first game of the 2-game slate. Donte DiVincenzo has been remarkable in this series against the Indiana Pacers, but this line and price have reached astronomical numbers. FanDuel has his 3’s priced at just -114, while the rest of the market is around -130 and -140. That’s enough reason to bite on this line.
The Pacers have watched DiVincenzo make 5,6, and 7 threes in the series’ first three games. At times in the first-round series against the 76ers, we saw Miles McBride get the nod over DiVincenzo late in the game, but with OG Anunoby now sidelined, DiVincenzo will be called upon to play a ton. Even so, I expect the Pacers to take him out of this game and let Josh Hart and the rest of the Knicks frontcourt beat them.
You can also check out our Knicks vs Pacers Same Game Parlay
Naz Reid, MIN, Under 10.5 points (-120)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing
With the return of Rudy Gobert in Game 3, Naz Reid sat on the sideline more than he may have thought. After playing 29 minutes in Game 2, Reid played just 21 minutes in Game 3, including just one in the final frame. Having Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns down low defending Nikola Jokic gives them their best shot to win.
Reid benefited in the 1st round series against the Suns because of their ability to go small. The Nuggets don’t give the Timberwolves that same luxury. After just seven field goal attempts in Game 3, I’ll bank on fading the 6th Man of the Year at home with the frontcourt of the Timberwolves active.
