Filip Tomic
Pride is at stake for the Memphis Grizzlies in this one, who host Game 3 of their first-round series against Oklahoma City. Tip-off is set for 9:30 pm ET tonight on TNT and I’ve pieced together a Thunder vs Grizzlies Same Game Parlay at +389 odds. You can find out our NBA picks on the side and total for all of tonight’s games as well as every matchup in the postseason, but for now, let’s break down each leg of our SGP.
Thunder -8.5 (-110)
Desmond Bane 3+ made threes (-152)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2+ made threes (-180)
Thunder vs Grizzlies Same Game Parlay odds: +389
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OKC Thunder -8.5 over Memphis Grizzlies (-110)
The 2-0 advantage that the Thunder currently own is something from which the Grizzlies almost certainly cannot come back from. Oklahoma City dominated 131-80 in Game 1 before coasting to a 118-99 victory on Tuesday. The fashion in which the Thunder have prevailed is easily repeatable, too. They won the battle of the boards 54-43 in the series opener and 55-42 in Game 2. The Grizzlies got blown out again on Tuesday even though their shooting improved dramatically. It’s not like Memphis is going to have some kind of overwhelming home-court advantage in Game 3, either. Everyone knows this series is basically over — including Grizzlies fans. The atmosphere is unlikely to be rocking, especially if the Thunder get off to a hot start.
Moreover, OKC compiled an amazing 32-8 road record during the regular season. Although this is far from a must-win situation for the Thunder, motivation should remain high because they want to close out this series as quickly as possible and rest up for what should be a more competitive 7-game set against either the Nuggets or Clippers. OKC dominated the first 2 contests even though soon-to-be NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander didn’t even go off. Jalen Williams has scored at least 20 points in 8 of the last 10 games since returning from a 2-week absence in late March. This team is a juggernaut and will likely roll again by double-digits in Game 3.
Check out our full Thunder vs Grizzlies Game 3 predictions
Desmond Bane 3+ made threes (-152)
As is the case with most role players, I expect Desmond Bane to step up as this series moves to Memphis for the next 2 games. Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. are the 2 stars on this team and they are likely to get their numbers, but Bane’s contribution could be vital if the Grizzlies are to make this game interesting. His three-point shooting has been very reliable this season, especially in home games where he makes 40.6% of his shots. He’s currently on a streak of 3 consecutive home games with at least 3 threes made, which gives me confidence he can achieve that feat yet again tonight.
Over his last 8 games at FedEx Forum in the regular season, Bane has cleared this line 6 times while shooting over 49%. OKC did a solid job on him in the first 2 games of this series, but over the past 10 meetings he’s still averaging 2.7 makes from three against them on solid 37.5% shooting. Game 3 will be nothing like the first 2 games from a standpoint of the Grizzlies’ pace, as we saw in the play-in tournament they’re way more comfortable playing fast in their own building. That should ensure Bane gets plenty of looks from three so let’s hope he can knock down a few shots.
Want more SGP action? Don’t miss our Knicks vs Pistons Same Game Parlay at +648 odds for the first matchup on TNT tonight
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2+ made threes (-180)
This series has been an odd one for SGA, who hasn’t really had a good time in either of the 2 games played in Oklahoma City. That in itself is very unusual for a player who averaged 36.3 points on 53.7% shooting from the field and 41.2% from three in the four meetings against Memphis during the regular season. A player of his caliber cannot continue playing this badly for long and Game 3 would be an ideal spot for a bounce-back performance as he leads the Thunder to a crucial win in a hostile environment.
Despite Gilgeous-Alexander’s sub-par shooting, he was still able to clear this line in Game 2, going 3-for-10 from three en route to 27 points. That means he has now scored multiple threes in 15 of his last 20 games if we include the regular season. For a bet that cashes 75% of the time, we are getting a very solid -180 odds here, so I am all over adding this to our Thunder vs Grizzlies Same Game Parlay.
