As we head into Week 4 of the NFL season, we now have enough data to start seeing trends and what some of the real issues are with teams in the league. With this data, we can really attack certain NFL player props, especially those that either get us a lot of points on Thrive, or those that seem a bit too low. This week, we have four picks on ThriveFantasy and these props include two of the NFL’s best running backs, a stud wide receiver in the NFC East and a west coast wideout that has thrived with his quarterback over the last couple of weeks.
If you are looking for some NFL Picks for Week 4 and you are playing over at ThriveFantasy, you have most certainly come to the right place.
Jonathan Taylor, Saquon Barkley, CeeDee Lamb and Tyler Lockett are guys you should look at targeting this week on Thrive. It’s time to #PropUp over at ThriveFantasy, but be sure to check out our NFL best bets and our NFL Prop Bets pages before locking in any NFL player props.
Last week: 1-2
2022 Season: 4-4 (50%)
ThriveFantasy NFL Player Props Week 4
Jonathan Taylor over 92.5 rushing yards
Outside of his Week 1 performance against Houston, it’s been tough sledding for Taylor, but this matchup against Tennessee seems destined for a monster game for Taylor. The Titans have allowed 6.1 yards per carry to running backs this season, and they have allowed the fifth-most rushing yards to the position this season. The Tennessee offense should struggle in this one, and with the Colts being the favorites by a couple of points in this contest, the game script should be in his favor. I like the over for Taylor this week.
Be sure to check out our full Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts predictions
Tyler Lockett over 5.5 receptions
It’s weird entrusting one of my picks to Geno Smith, but Seattle is throwing the ball a bunch, and the biggest boost to Lockett in this matchup is that he shouldn’t see much of Jeff Okudah, who has easily been Detroit’s best cornerback this season. Whether it’s on the opposite side of the field or in the slot, Lockett should thrive and be the team’s de facto WR1 in this contest. After a quiet Week 1, Lockett has nine receptions on 11 targets in two straight games, and with this line being at just 5.5, his recent workload should allow us to cruise to an over. He gets a matchup boost compared to teammate DK Metcalf in this one.
Be sure to check out our full Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions predictions
Saquon Barkley over 101.5 rushing and receiving yards
There may not be anyone who loves Dameon Pierce more than me, but who do you believe is more talented, Pierce or Saquon Barkley? Pierce racked up 101 total yards on 22 touches last week against Chicago, and the Bears have been abysmal against the run this season. Barkley is a home run threat, and he’s received at least 18 touches in every game this season. He has over 102 total yards in two of three games this season, and I don’t envision the Chicago Bears of all teams slowing down Barkley in this contest. Chicago has allowed 4.9 yards per carry this season to running backs, not to mention 7.8 yards per reception.
Be sure to check out our full Chicago Bears vs New York Giants predictions
CeeDee Lamb over 60.5 receiving yards
Listen, I know Cooper Rush is under center for Dallas, but that hasn’t really slowed down Lamb. Not only does Lamb have at least 11 targets in each game that Rush has started, but he has at least 75 receiving yards in each game. Beyond that, Lamb has a massive 37.1 percent target share with Rush under center and now gets a juicy matchup against a Washington defense that has been abused by receivers this season. Only the Ravens and Rams have allowed more receiving yards to wideouts this season, and Dallas will move Lamb all around the offense to allow him to thrive in the most advantageous spots against this Washington secondary.
Be sure to check out our full Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys predictions
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