For the Week 15 action on ThriveFantasy this week, we’re expecting some big performances in the Los Angeles Chargers and Tennessee Titans showdown. We’ll look to build on a 2-1 week last week, en route to a big, and profitable, Week 15! If you are looking for some NFL Picks for Week 15 and you are playing over at ThriveFantasy, you have most certainly come to the right place. It’s time to #PropUp over at ThriveFantasy, but be sure to check out our NFL Best Bets and our NFL Prop Bets pages before locking in any NFL player props.
ThriveFantasy NFL Player Props Week 15
Justin Herbert over 1.5 passing touchdowns + interceptions
Herbert has been throwing the ball all around the yard in recent weeks, as mentioned above. He has 47 or more pass attempts in three straight games, yet he has just five touchdown passes during this three game run. It’s very hard to run the ball against Tennessee, so it should be a profitable day through the air for Herbert. He hasn’t thrown a pick in three weeks, but prior to that, he had one in five straight games. I’m taking the over here, because Tennessee is opportunistic enough to maybe get one pick, but really, taking the over lies in the fact that Tennessee has allowed the second-most touchdown passes to quarterbacks in the league this year, including being tied for the most over the last four weeks.
Get our NFL picks for every Week 15 game — we went 11-2 ATS in Week 14!
Mike Williams over 4.5 receptions
Am I missing something here? Tennessee is one of the worst teams statistically against the pass, not to mention against the opposition’s WR1. Williams looked good last week, catching all six of his targets for 116 yards and a touchdown, and in fact, he has at least five receptions in four of his last six games, and in one of those games he left early due to injury, so really it’s four out of five! Tennessee is stout against the run, so the Chargers may let Justin Herbert throw it 45+ times, which he’s done in each of his last three games. The Tennessee secondary stinks, and you can throw it all over Tennessee, so expect a big game from Williams in this one.
Lock in our NFL best bets for this week — we’re up +33.24 units this season!
Derrick Henry over 92.5 rushing yards
It’s funny, in that the Chargers don’t really run the ball a ton, nor can they stop it on defense. They have allowed the third-most rushing yards to backs over the last four weeks, and for the 2022 season as a whole, only the Houston Texans have allowed more. Running backs are averaging over 5.5 yards per carry against the Chargers, and we all know what Tennessee wants to do on offense. Henry had a rough couple of weeks prior to the Jacksonville game, facing two very solid run defenses in Cincinnati and Philadelphia, but he’s feasted in good matchups this year, and volume is never a question for the star back. He’s in line for a big workload, and even bigger day from a statistical perspective.
Be sure to check out our full Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers predictions
Tom Brady over 260.5 passing yards
Much like above with Herbert against Tennessee, Tampa Bay will try to run the ball against Cincy, but I’m not sure how well that will fare for them. Given the fact they haven’t run the ball well all season, and that Cincy has been solid against the run of late, this feels like a Tom Brady air-it-out type game. The Bengals have allowed the seventh-most receiving yards to running backs over the last four weeks, so short passes to Leonard Fournette and Rachaad White could serve as a pretty big extension of the run game this week. Cincy has allowed the sixth-most passing yards to quarterbacks over the last four weeks, and when Joe Burrow lights up this defense, Brady will have no choice but to attempt to keep pace. Brady just might push 300 yards in this one.
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