When looking at the board of NFL player props over at ThriveFantasy, there were a couple of numbers that jumped off the page. For the first time in quite some time, there’s an under that I like this week, mainly just to get some points on the board. On the other hand, big days for Tua Tagovailoa, Amari Cooper and Derrick Henry seem to be in store for Week 10. If you are looking for some NFL Picks for Week 10 and you are playing over at ThriveFantasy, you have most certainly come to the right place.
It’s time to #PropUp over at ThriveFantasy, but be sure to check out our NFL Best Bets and our NFL Prop Bets pages before locking in any NFL player props. We’re 34-19 on NFL best bets this season!
Last week: 1-2
2022 Season: 15-13 (53.5%)
ThriveFantasy NFL Player Props Week 10
Tua Tagovailoa over 278.5 passing + rushing yards
Tagovailoa has 300+ yards in back-to-back games, and in the five games he’s played this year where he’s taken every snap, he’s averaging 336.8 passing yards per game! Bailey Zappe and Joe Flacco both have 300+ yard games against this Cleveland defense this season, and the Browns have struggled at times in coverage. The Dolphins are one of the more pass-happy teams this season, and while Cleveland can be vulnerable against the run, Miami isn’t going away from their identity. Expect a big day for Tagovailoa, and perhaps his third straight 300-yard day.
Amari Cooper over 55.5 receiving yards
Cooper has surpassed this mark in three of his last four games, and in all but two games this season. The Dolphins are one of the worst teams in DVOA against the pass this season, and top wide receivers have given them fits at various points of the season. I expect Miami to put up points on this Cleveland defense, and game script should behoove Cooper, en route to a solid day with at least 60+ receiving yards.
Be sure to check out our full Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins predictions
Derrick Henry over 92.5 rushing yards
Let’s see what Henry has done over the last five weeks in terms of rushing yardage: 114, 102, 128, 219, and 115. Sounds like another over is in store! The Broncos rank in the bottom-third of the league in DVOA against the run, and Mike Vrabel has made it clear that the team must run the football, and they are going to run Henry into the ground. His 17 carries against the Chiefs this past week was his lowest mark since getting just 13 carries back in Week 2. Two running backs have received at least 20 carries against this Denver defense this season, both of whom (Travis Etienne, Josh Jacobs) went for 140+. Take the over with Henry.
Russell Wilson under 2.5 passing touchdowns
You aren’t getting many points here on Thrive, so depending on your contest selection, you may not want to take this one. However, it seems like an easy path to 65 points, and remember, some points are better than no points. Wilson has yet to throw three passing touchdowns in a single game this year, and he only has one game with multiple touchdown tosses. Dating back to his last year in Seattle, he has just three games with 3+ touchdown passes, and that covers 21 games! The Titans aren’t great against the pass, but they’ve only allowed one quarterback (Josh Allen) to surpass this 2.5 passing touchdowns line this season.
Be sure to check out our full Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans predictions
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