Andrew Wilsher
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I hate to alarm you, but we have only 5 NFL Sundays left of the regular season. That isn’t a lot of time. Week 14 is upon us and once again it looks like it could be a time when the dogs are barking. Betting underdogs has been insanely profitable this season, and with that in mind it’s time for us to take a trip to The Dog House, as I highlight my 3 favorite underdogs of the week.
We’ve got 2 big dogs today with teams being given more than a touchdown. It might not be pretty and it could be stressful, but I like them both to cover the number. We’ve also got another dog that is in red-hot form and who I think have a great shot at winning outright. But before we dive into this week’s best underdogs, make sure you also check out our picks on the side and total for every single NFL game.
Jacksonville Jaguars +8.5 (-110) over Tennessee Titans
To kick things off, I’m taking the Jaguars +8.5 against the Titans. Yeah, I know, it’s a pretty grim pick after Jacksonville was decimated by the Rams last week, but I feel like this is too many points to give them. For starters, the Titans just haven’t been the same since losing Derrick Henry, and the absence of AJ Brown cannot be understated either. Really, I don’t think Tennessee should be this big of a favorite against anybody. All of Ryan Tannehill’s weapons are disappearing, and he’s turned into an interception machine over the past few weeks.
Jacksonville proved a few weeks ago against Buffalo that they have ability in there somewhere, and I’m expecting a fighting performance this week against their AFC South rivals. When they played Tennessee earlier in the season, they more than held their own before a fumble returned for a TD saw them lose control of the game. The Titans’ last 2 games saw them lose to the lowly Texans and get crushed by the Patriots. Take the Jags to keep this within a converted score, and sprinkle a little on the money line too.
Be sure to read our full game preview for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans
Washington Football Team +4.5 (-110) over Dallas Cowboys
Next up in The Dog House, we’ve got Washington. A lot like last year, the Football Team has been rolling in the second half of the season and has won 4 straight games. Their defense has stepped up significantly, not allowing more than 21 points in their last 5 games, and they are now firmly in contention for a wild-card spot in the playoffs. Given how rigid Washington’s defense has been, I’m expecting a low-scoring game with Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense struggling to get the chains moving. As a result, getting 4.5 points could be big.
Taylor Heinicke has been rock-solid for WFT but it is their run game that is really starting to flourish, with Antonio Gibson putting up at least 88 rushing yards in each of his last 3 games. While the Cowboys’ defense has been much-improved under Dan Quinn, they are still allowing 4.5 yards per carry (tied for 7th-most in the NFL) and I expect Ron Rivera to exploit that.
Don’t forget to read our full game preview for Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Football Team
New York Giants +10.5 (-115) over Los Angeles Chargers
Last but not least, we’re going with the Giants to keep it within 10 against the Chargers. I’ve found Los Angeles incredibly hard to figure out this season, but one thing I do know is that the team is wildly inconsistent. Prior to last week’s crushing win over the Bengals, the Chargers had lost 4 of 6 games and they almost blew a big lead in their crazy 41-37 win over the Steelers. Justin Herbert has been blowing hot and cold for a few weeks now, and with all that in mind there’s no way I’d be comfortable betting LA to secure a dominant win.
As for the Giants, by no means have they been great this season but their defense has once again been keeping them in games. They’ve kept 5 of their last 6 opponents to 20 or fewer points, and did actually win 3 of those games. Daniel Jones’ absence could be a factor, but as long as Mike Glennon clears concussion protocol and suits up, he should be able to manage the offense effectively enough to put points on the board. It’s also worth noting that the Chargers have allowed 4.6 yards per carry this season, which is the 5th-most in the league, so don’t rule out Saquon Barkley punishing them.
Be sure to read our full game preview for New York Giants vs Los Angeles Chargers
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