Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
Super Bowl 59 has arrived! We’ve got one heck of a game in store that’s projected to be a close one, with the Kansas City Chiefs currently narrow 1.5-point favorites against the Philadelphia Eagles. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are in their 5th Super Bowl in 7 years, while the Eagles return just 2 years removed from their first showdown with Mahomes in Super Bowl 57. The Chiefs won that game 38-35 on a Harrison Butker field goal with 8 seconds left. This Eagles team is arguably the most talented in the league top to bottom with Saquon Barkley doing his best Terrell Davis impression. On the other side, you have Patrick Mahomes chasing the ghost of Tom Brady. Let’s get into our best Chiefs player props for the Super Bowl, while you can also find out all our NFL picks and Chiefs vs Eagles predictions for the big game.
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Marquise Brown (KC) over 3.5 receptions (-118)
Marquise Brown (KC) over 4.5 receptions (+178)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Marquise “Hollywood” Brown has had a rough first season with the Chiefs. He didn’t see his first start until Week 16, where he logged 8 targets and 5 receptions for 45 yards. Brown immediately followed that up with 7 targets for 4 receptions and 46 yards. The playoffs have not been as kind to him. In the Divisional Round against Houston, he saw only 2 targets for 0 receptions, while the AFC Championship Game brought him 5 targets and 3 receptions. For the Chiefs, it’s truly a team-first approach that can see any skill position player step up to make plays, but I love Brown at this 3.5 mark.
The Vic Fangio defense is very much bend-don’t-break that has 2 high safeties and light boxes. It makes it very hard to throw over the top and limits the big, explosive plays while keeping everything in front of you.
So, why Marquise Brown? I went back and watched every target he had this season (there weren’t many due to injury) and he’s been thriving underneath with very few deep targets. His aDOT on the season was 8.1 and they used him frequently on plays out to the sidelines in quick outs. Occasionally, these quick outs are used to set up a deep play when the corner bites on his curls, drags, and out routes, but its all done on the basis of him being a short-yardage receiver. It’s why he never went over 46 yards this season, but what was promising was that he had 65%+ offensive snaps in both playoff games. I’m going with 1u on 4+ receptions and 0.5u on 5+ receptions as the best of my Chiefs player props for the Super Bowl.
Don’t miss our Super Bowl Same Game Parlay picks and our Chiefs vs Eagles touchdown scorer best bets
