Ricky Dimon
It’s the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles in the Super Bowl for the second time in 3 years. Kansas City is going for a historic three-peat, while Philadelphia is looking to lift the Lombardi Trophy for the 2nd time in the last 8 seasons. Much of America may not like it, but it’s a marquee matchup between the 2 best teams the NFL – and it features a whole host of individual star power, as well. Without further ado, let’s get into my Chiefs vs Eagles Same Game Parlay picks for Super Bowl 59, which kicks off on Sunday, February 9 at 6:30 pm ET on FOX. You can also find out all of our NFL picks and Chiefs vs Eagles predictions for the Super Bowl, including best bets, props and touchdown scorers.
Chiefs –1.5 (-110)
Patrick Mahomes to score a touchdown (+460)
Saquon Barkley to record 100+ rushing yards (-195)
Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl Same Game Parlay odds: +1449
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes scoring a touchdown would obviously work well with a win and cover by the Chiefs. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Philadelphia running back Saquon Barkley to rack up his fair share of rushing yards. But even if he does, there is no reason why K.C. can’t take care of business. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
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Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (-110)
This isn’t that complicated, folks. I’m not betting against Mahomes in the playoffs. I didn’t in Kansas City’s first 2 games and I’m certainly not doing it now – not in the Super Bowl. Yes, Mahomes has lost once in the biggest game in football – but that was to Tom Brady, the only player who still leads him in the GOAT discussion. Mahomes is otherwise 3-0 and has led his team to each of the past 2 titles. He beat the Eagles in Super Bowl 57 and I have full faith that he will do it again in Super Bowl 59.
Of course, it’s not all about the QB. Defensive coordinator has Steve Spagnuolo has his unit absolutely balling. The high-powered Buffalo Bills could not solve K.C.’s defense when it mattered most, nor could many other teams in crunch time during the regular season. Both timely defense and Mahomes’ clutch gene are big reasons why the Chiefs have won a hard-to-believe 17 consecutive 1-possession games. This may be another close Super Bowl; and if it’s close, you have to like Kansas City down the stretch.
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Patrick Mahomes to score a touchdown (+460)
When the moments are most important, Mahomes often takes matters into his own hands. We just saw him keep it 11 times for 43 yards and 2 touchdowns in last week’s thriller against Buffalo. The 3-time Super Bowl MVP did not find the end zone with his feet in last year’s Super Bowl, but he at least gained 66 yards on the ground. In a 2021 Divisional Round win over the Bills, Mahomes rushed for 69 yards and a score. He also had a rushing TD in the 2020 Divisional Round against the Cleveland Browns after scoring himself in each of the last 2 playoff games in 2019 (the AFC Championship against the Tennessee Titans and the Super Bowl against the San Francisco 49ers).
Meanwhile, Philadelphia was in the bottom half of the NFL this season in quarterback rushing yards allowed, quarterback rushing attempts and quarterback rushing TDs. At long odds, Mahomes has great value to reach paydirt.
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Saquon Barkley to record 100+ rushing yards (-195)
Barkley’s over/under is set at 112.5, but I will tease it down to the century mark for a safer play. Even at that number, its addition to the parlay provides a massive boost to the payout. And there is no reason why he can’t get to 100. After all, Barkley’s 3 rushing totals so far during these playoffs are 119, 205 and 118. Dating back to the regular season, the Penn State product has delivered 5 consecutive 100-yard performances (also with efforts of 150 and 167). He has surpassed the 100 mark in a whopping 9 of the last 10 games – a stretch that features a 255-yard outburst at the Los Angeles Rams’ expense in Week 12.
The Chiefs’ run defense is no slouch, but it did get torched by James Cook and the Bills in the AFC title tilt (Cook had 13 carries for 85 yards and Buffalo as a team finished with 147 yards and 2 touchdowns on 32 attempts). Expect another 3-figure effort from Barkley to bring home our Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl Same Game Parlay.
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