Ricky Dimon
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Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are in the Super Bowl again. They are facing the San Francisco 49ers again. Mahomes’ first Lombardi Trophy came 4 years ago, when Kansas City took down San Francisco 31-20. Both teams look a little bit different now – especially the Niners, whose offense is led by Brock Purdy and Christian McCaffrey. Can San Francisco turn the tide, or will Mahomes once again be too good and earn Super Bowl MVP honors for the 3rd time in his career?
Here is a breakdown of the early Super Bowl MVP odds, and also be sure to check out our full 49ers vs Chiefs predictions.
Super Bowl 58 MVP odds
Patrick Mahomes +120
Brock Purdy +225
Christian McCaffrey +475
Travis Kelce +1200
Deebo Samuel +2000
Isiah Pacheco +3000
Rashee Rice +5000
George Kittle +6000
Brandon Aiyuk +6500
Nick Bosa +7500
Best Super Bowl MVP bet: Patrick Mahomes (+120)
Money is already coming in on the Chiefs, who are now very slight +100 underdogs on the money line. It makes sense, too, as Mahomes has already won 2 Super Bowls and the 49ers have not looked very good in the playoffs. They should have lost to Green Bay and they would have lost to the Lions if not for an epic second-half collapse by the visitors in the NFC Championship. Although Kansas City ML at +100 is a strong play, there is even better value on Mahomes to be MVP at +120. After all, there is pretty much no way that the star quarterback isn’t MVP if his team wins. The 28-year-old was MVP in each of KC’s first 2 Super Bowl triumphs, and given the makeup of this particular team, there is no reason to think anything will be different in 2024. Travis Kelce is the only other superstar on offense and I can’t see any defensive player being in the discussion. The chances of Kansas City winning a low-scoring game are slim given the strength of San Francisco’s offense. If the Chiefs are to win, Mahomes will have to put up big numbers.
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Best Super Bowl MVP longshot bet: Deebo Samuel (+2000)
As for a longshot play, I would think about Deebo Samuel at +2000. For 2 reasons, Purdy is not necessarily lock to win MVP if the 49ers prevail. First, he isn’t Mahomes; second, he has a ton of weapons around him in the form of Samuel, McCaffrey, George Kittle and others. Samuel is capable of doing damage both through the air on the ground, giving him multiple outlets by which to victimize the Chiefs’ defense. Again, I like Mahomes and the Chiefs the most – but any longshot value is with someone on the Niners.
Free Super Bowl 58 Picks and Predictions
Be sure to check out our full-game preview:
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