Andrew Ortenberg
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Sunday Night Football will feature an NFC North matchup as the Green Bay Packers host the Chicago Bears. Chicago’s season has spiraled rapidly after their 5-1 start as they’ve now lost four straight games, while Green Bay enters this one at 7-3. Mitchell Trubisky will make his return to the lineup here in place of an injured Nick Foles, and I’m curious as to what he’ll look like.
A win here could just about wrap up the division for the Packers, as they’d have a three-game lead with only five left to play. We’ve got plenty of thoughts on the game, including picks for the side and total, but right now we’ll be talking about some daily fantasy. Here’s what we’re rolling with in this single-game DraftKings showdown format:
Captain: Mitchell Trubisky, QB, Bears ($13,800)
If you actually want to win a large tournament you’re going to need to make some contrarian plays. Going with Trubisky at captain certainly qualifies, and I think he’s got underrated upside here. Back in Week 1 he put up 24 fantasy points, and I think his benching might’ve actually done him some good as he should come out here being less cautious and letting it rip. The Packers also have really struggled to get pressure this year, and under duress is when Trubisky struggles. If you want to play it safe and play a cash game instead of a tournament, I’d go with Aaron Rodgers here.
Flex: Anthony Miller, WR, Bears ($3,000)
You’re going to want to get one super cheap option in your lineup here so we can fit both quarterbacks, and Miller makes the most sense. Volume is key in daily fantasy, and Miller has been getting a ton of looks recently even though he’s being disrespected with this price. He has at least seven targets in three straight games, and at least 59 yards in two of those. He’s clearly got the potential for a big day here, and the Packers’ top corner Jaire Alexander will be locked in on shutting down Allen Robinson.
Flex: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers ($11,400)
As I just mentioned, Miller allows us to fit both quarterbacks into our lineup. Rodgers has been playing at his highest level in years this season, and should be able to have a solid game here even against a tough Bears defense. He has at least three total touchdowns in seven of his last eight games, and since Green Bay’s running game hasn’t really been working in recent weeks, he should get a lot of attempts here.
Flex: David Montgomery, RB, Bears ($8,800)
Once again volume is key, and Montgomery will be the undisputed featured back here. He’s a good bet to get 20+ carries, and now he’s facing a Packers defense that has struggled to stop the run all season long. Green Bay has gotten shredded on the ground at times, and Montgomery has also been very involved in the passing game recently. He has at least five targets in five of his past six games, and should rack up at least a few catches here to raise his floor.
Flex: Robert Tonyan, TE, Packers ($5,800)
Tonyan had 44 yards and a touchdown on five catches last week, and Rodgers clearly trusts him. Chicago has a fierce pass-rush, which should force some quick throws to running backs and tight ends. The Bears have struggled to cover tight ends all season long as the middle of the field is the weakness of their defense, and they’re giving up the fifth-most fantasy points in the league to the position.
Flex: Allen Lazard, WR, Packers ($6,800)
Lazard is another guy with a lot of upside. Last week was his first game back from an injury that sidelined him for two months, so he was eased in. The last time he played a full game all the way back in Week 3, he had 146 yards and a touchdown. Marquez Valdes-Scantling has an Achilles injury that might sideline him here, which would ensure an even heavier workload for Lazard.
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