Sunday MLB three-team mega parlay (+1637 odds): Reds roll

Cincinnati Reds starting pitcher Luis Castillo (58) throws a pitch in the third inning of the MLB National League game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates at Great American Ball Park in downtown Cincinnati on Wednesday, April 7, 2021
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The 2021 MLB season kicked off over a month and a half ago now, and the action has been jam-packed. Why not make the action even more exciting by going for a big payday on Sunday? That’s right, we’re back with another MLB mega parlay as we wrap up the weekend, this time a three-teamer with a payout just north of 15/1, where we’re counting on the Reds to win big.

We’ve been cashing these left and right. We cashed our MLB mega parlay on Wednesday at +1488 odds, and also cashed our MLB mega parlay the Wednesday before at +1618 odds. Let’s do it again here on Sunday.

We’re going big and bold, so let’s not waste any more time. We’re diving in, but don’t forget to check out our picks for the side and total on every MLB game, with our team of experts in red-hot form to start the season.

Baltimore Orioles ML (+170)

Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+230)

San Diego Padres -1.5 (-105)

Parlay odds: +1637

Let’s break down each of the three legs one by one.

Baltimore Orioles ML (+170)

To start this mega parlay off we’ve got the Orioles on the money line. The Nationals are in last place in the NL East, and I don’t see any reason for them to be this large of a favorite. The Nats will start Patrick Corbin, who has a 6.10 ERA. There’s no way you could lay this steep of a price with him on the mound. In his most recent start, Corbin gave up eight hits and two walks in only five innings.

Before melting down in his last two outings, Orioles starter Matt Harvey had been pretty solid. Baltimore has been terrible at home this year, but they’re actually 11-10 on the road. The Orioles’ offense has also quietly been hitting pretty well, scoring at least six runs in four of their last six. This game feels like a tossup to me, so getting +170 has a lot of value.

Be sure to check out our full game preview.

Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+230)

Getting better than 2/1 with the Reds here is too good to pass up. Luis Castillo has struggled this season, but he was an All-Star last year. It’s only a matter of time before the Reds’ ace figures it out, and now is a good time to buy-low on his stock. Brewers hitters have a lifetime .151 average and .534 OPS against Castillo in 91 at bats. The Red are still third in the league in OPS, so if we can get a decent start from Castillo here we should cash this.

The Brewers have been a massive disappointment offensively, and are 28th in OPS. They’ve lost six of their past eight games, and these lineups aren’t even close right now. Oddsmakers are acting like they have a big edge on the mound here, but that’s simply not true. Freddy Peralta has been great this season, but this is an overreaction to a small sample size. He and Castillo are similar quality pitchers.

Be sure to check out our full game preview.

San Diego Padres -1.5 (-105)

To wrap this parlay up and hopefully bring us home, we’ve got the Padres. Now that San Diego has Fernando Tatis Jr. back in the lineup, this offense is looking like a true juggernaut. They’ve won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 22-5. This pitching matchup is also a huge mismatch, with Yu Darvish throwing for San Diego while Yusei Kikuchi takes the mound for Seattle.

Darvish has been one of the best pitchers in the league this year and last, and enters this one with a 1.81 ERA in nine starts. He’s given up two runs or fewer in eight straight starts, and only one or zero in seven of those. Kikuchi on the other hand has a career ERA of 5.18 in 49 starts. We should see yet another lopsided victory for the Padres on Sunday.

Be sure to check out our full game preview.

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