Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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Sunday Night Football is a matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens. These AFC North rivals met just 3 weeks ago in Pittsburgh, where the Ravens squeaked out a 16-14 victory. In that game, the Ravens rushed for a ridiculous 215 yards and Mitch Trubisky stepped in for Kenny Pickett, throwing 3 INTS in the process. Tyler Huntley was held to only 88 passing yards on the day, but the run game made up for it. The Ravens have clinched a playoff berth but are still chasing the Bengals for the division title as they are only one game back. Let’s look at a few player props in what should be another low-scoring affair.
Pat Freiermuth over 3.5 receptions (-125)
Line available on DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
The Ravens defense has been above average against tight ends in the yards column, but they do allow 6.9 targets per game to opposing TEs, tied for 9th-most. Freiermuth saw 6 targets in the first matchup, but finished with only 3 receptions and I largely attribute that to Mitch Trubisky being under center. Last season, Freiermuth saw a target jump from Game 1 vs Baltimore to Game 2 vs Baltimore and I’m expecting the same tonight. He should see 7-8 targets and have no issue hauling in 4 receptions, but the yards may be tough to come by. Either way, George Pickens will have his hands full with Marlon Humphrey on the perimeter and the focus will be on stopping Najee Harris from getting going in the run game. Freiermuth should have plenty of easy looks in the play action. 1U
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Demarcus Robinson over 30.5 receiving yards (-110)
Line available on FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
This seems like a zag play, but on paper it makes a lot of sense. The Steelers will do everything in their power to prevent the Ravens from amassing another 200+ yards on the ground and it’s going to be on Huntley to make plays with his arm if the Ravens want to pull off a victory. Robinson has seen 6+ targets in 2 of Huntley’s 3 starts. The first focus in the passing game will be Mark Andrews and this Steelers team is ranked 7th overall in DVOA vs TEs, but 17th vs WR1s. According to PFF, Robinson spends 65% of his snaps at left wide receiver, which will line him up against CB Cameron Sutton, whose coverage grade of 54.4 in the second half of the season is 10th-worst among starting CBs. The Steelers have given up 70+ yards to 15 different wide receivers this season and Robinson has the chance to be a reliable target on the perimeter. 1U
Anytime TD scorers
J.K. Dobbins +200
Najee Harris +150
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