The Seahawks and Buccaneers head to Munich for the first-ever NFL game in Germany, and it should prove to be an exciting game for fans to wake up to. The Seahawks have regularly defied the odds to be 6-3 and top of the NFC West, and although the Bucs are top of the NFC South, many will have expected a lot more from Tom Brady and company so far. Our NFL expert gives their picks, predictions and best bets for this big game.
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NFL Week 10 Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction
The Seahawks have looked tremendous behind their merry band of rookies this season. Kenneth Walker has been getting it done out of the backfield and Geno Smith has looked solid as a game manager. As for the Buccaneers, despite beating the Rams last week the jury is still out on this team with their offense really struggling to make an impact. Could it take a trip to Germany to get Brady and his receivers back in rhythm, or can the Seahawks keep their good times going?
Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers spread, odds & betting lines
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Point Spread: Seahawks +2.5, Buccaneers -2.5
Total Points Over/Under: 44.5 points
Money Line Odds: Seahawks +125, Buccaneers -145
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Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers expert picks
We’ve got 2 standout NFL picks for this week’s clash between the Seahawks and Buccaneers.
Seahawks vs Buccaneers point spread pick: Seahawks +2.5 (-110)
Tampa Bay opened a 9-point favorite when this line originated over the summer and dropped all the way to -1 last week on the lookahead, which was giving me serious buy low vibes on the Bucs prior to Sunday. But since the market reopened Sunday night after both teams won, we’ve seen considerable buyback on the Bucs. At the price, I just don’t feel comfortable laying with Tampa right now, a team that ranked 22nd out of 24 in EPA/play on offense with just a 38.6% overall success rate last week against the Rams. The good news is Tom Brady and company will step down in class considerably this week from a Rams defense that’s top 5 in pass rush win rate to the Seahawks who are 26th in that category. So Tom might have more time to throw, but it will likely be in obvious passing situations, because the run game continues to be a major issue. Leonard Fournette is last in the NFL in RYOE (rush yards over expected) and I wouldn’t be shocked to see more of Rachaad White down the stretch.
The one thing I really like about this Seahawks team, besides Geno Smith, is their talented crop of rookies. That group includes both starting tackles (Charles Cross, Abraham Lucas), 3 starters on defense (CB Tariq Woolen, CB Coby Brant, LB Boye Mafe) and the current odds on favorite for offensive rookie of the year (RB Kenneth Walker). The Seahawks lead the NFL in combined rookie snaps this season (2,720) and it’s fair to say this team still has plenty of room to the upside if those youngsters continue to improve. If you want another angle for the side in this game, the Seahawks are 8-1 ATS in the 1st half this season, while the Bucs are 3-6. It can be tricky trying to predict which team will show up for an International game across the pond, but if things stay true to form, Seattle will be playing from the front foot.
Be sure to check out our full Seahawks vs Buccaneers predictions
Seahawks vs Buccaneers Over/Under totals pick: Under 44.5 (-110)
The Bucs defense took a big step forward last week holding the Rams to just a 23% success rate and with 34% of their total yards coming on a broken play in the secondary. In fact, that play probably doesn’t even happen if it was Antoine Winfield at safety and not a backup. Winfield fully practiced on Wednesday and should return from a concussion this week. The rest of the Tampa secondary appears healthy with CBs Carlton Davis and Sean Murphy-Bunting providing an immediate spark last week.
The Seahawks’ defense has also been a pleasant surprise this season under first year DC Clint Hurtt who I’ve rang the bell for several times already this season. I can see Tom Brady and this Bucs offense being in a lot of 3rd and long situations against Seattle considering how much trouble they’ve had getting the run game going. Seattle has also graded out great against the run this season with just a 36.6% success rate allowed, the 5th lowest in the league. Both of these defenses are inside the top 12 in schedule adjusted efficiency, and with the number still being above the key of 44, which is the most landed on total in the NFL the last few seasons, I feel comfortable with making a small bet to the under.
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Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers expert predictions
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