Ricky Dimon
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The Pittsburgh Steelers will have a chance to clinch the AFC North title when they visit the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday afternoon. However, with 3 weeks remaining the division is still very much in the balance. Pittsburgh is 10-4, while Baltimore is just 1 game back at 9-5. With so much on the line in this Saturday matchup, let’s get into my Steelers vs Ravens Same Game Parlay picks, which gets underway at 4:30 pm ET on FOX. You can also find out all of our NFL picks for EVERY Week 16 game.
Steelers +6.5 (-115)
Russell Wilson Over 206.5 passing yards (-110)
Derrick Henry to score a touchdown (-175)
Steelers vs Ravens Same Game Parlay odds: +417
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Pittsburgh quarterback Russell Wilson passing for plenty of yards would obviously work well with a Steelers cover. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Baltimore running back Derrick Henry to score a touchdown. But even if he does, there is no reason why the Steelers can’t keep this one close, especially if Wilson has a productive game. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
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Pittsburgh Steelers +6.5 over Baltimore Ravens (-115)
We have another AFC North showdown on our hands, and if there is one thing this division has taught us over the years it’s to expect extremely competitive contests – even when they not necessarily should be on paper. Well, this one should be. These are the 2 best teams in the division this year and both are heading straight for the playoffs. If the Steelers clinch on Saturday, the biggest factor will be their sweep of the Ravens (Pittsburgh prevailed 18-16 at home on November 17). Baltimore’s offense struggling in this matchup is nothing new. Lamar Jackson has 5 touchdown passes and 8 interceptions while going 1-4 in his last 5 starts against the Steelers. I’m not saying Pittsburgh is going to win outright yet again, but at the very least it should be within 1 possession. The underdog is 19-2-3 ATS in this head-to-head matchup during the Mike Tomlin-Jim Harbaugh era.
Read our full Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens predictions
Russell Wilson Over 206.5 passing yards (-110)
George Pickens is likely out for this one, but Wilson should still be able to exceed a modest 206.5 number. After all, Baltimore is saddled with one of the worst passing defenses in the league. It is second-to-last in passing yards allowed (258.9 yards per game on 7.4 yards per attempt) while surrendering 3 times as many touchdowns through the air as interceptions made (24 to 8). Wilson has surpassed this number 4 times in his 8 games this year – going for at least 264 yards on all 4 of those occasions.
Find out our Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs predictions for Saturday’s other matchup
Derrick Henry to score a touchdown (-175)
There’s no need to overthink putting this leg in the parlay. Henry is a borderline lock to score every time he takes the field, and even at -175 odds it gives the payout a serious boost since it conflicts a bit with Pittsburgh covering the spread. However, the Steelers can simply accept Henry finding the end zone as a given; as long as they contain everyone else, they will likely be in good shape – if not to win then at least to cover. Henry has scored 15 touchdowns this season (13 rushing, 2 receiving) to go along with his 1,474 yards on the ground. The former Alabama standout delivered 1 TD against Pittsburgh last month and can be counted on for at least 1 more tally this weekend.
Now find out our Texans vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay picks for Saturday at HUGE +1300 odds!
