Ricky Dimon
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As Tom Brady told us in the famous (infamous?) Hulu Super Bowl commercial, he isn’t going anywhere.
That means he isn’t retiring. It doesn’t necessarily mean that he isn’t leaving the New England Patriots. There is no guarantee he leaves, either. Right now we just don’t know—which is exactly the way Brady wants it. Knowing him, he will milk free agency for all it’s worth and remain at the forefront of the news for as long as humanly possible. If there is one thing this guy enjoys more than winning championships, it’s making headlines.
One of the biggest offseason headlines so far is that the Las Vegas Raiders are prepared to offer Brady a two-year, $60 million contract. Will that kind of money entice the 42-year-old to end what has been a dynastic era in New England?
Let’s take look at the odds…which say ‘no’ to that question.
New England Patriots (-250)
Does Brady really want to leave a franchise for which he has played the entirety of his 20-year NFL career? Probably not. There is a better chance that his flirtation with free agency is all for show, achieving what was discussed above—to keep him relevant throughout the offseason. Although the six-time Super Bowl champion is no longer in his prime and the personnel around him is also not as good as it once was, he still arguably has better shot at another ring with the Patriots than he does with any of the other teams looking for a quarterback.
Las Vegas Raiders (+300)
The Raiders are moving from Oakland to Las Vegas; why not begin the new era with a new signal-caller? They do not seem opposed to that idea, given that they are reportedly offering Brady a two-year deal. Incumbent Derek Carr has one year left on his own contract, but the Raiders would not have to eat too much money by either waiving or trading him.
Los Angeles Chargers (+300)
The Philip Rivers era is over with this franchise, so a quarterback search is on. Right now the Chargers are expected to draft a signal-caller of the future (and perhaps even the present) in the first round this spring. Interest from Brady could change those plans, but why would he want to compete with Kansas City in the AFC West instead of continuing to feast on the AFC East?
Tennessee Titans (+700)
Going from the East to the South would not be the worst thing in the world. That division is usually up for grabs, and even though the Titans did not win it in 2019, they reeled off consecutive playoff road wins at New England and Baltimore. Brady under center and Derrick Henry in the backfield could be dangerous. And the defense is stellar. Tennessee would undoubtedly be a contender.
Indianapolis Colts (+900)
While Rivers is still getting after it at 38 years old, Andrew Luck retired last summer at 29. Enter former backup Jacoby Brissett, who accounted for 22 total touchdowns in his first season as the Colts’ starter (18 passing, four rushing) compared to only six interceptions. But he was only solid—not spectacular—and his team missed the playoffs at 7-9. Indianapolis is no stranger to legendary QBs and may be tempted to go after another one.
