Andrew Wilsher
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It’s Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season and we’ve already seen tons of great action. Last week will be remembered for a number of crazy upsets and comebacks that wreaked havoc across the sports betting community. However, here at Pickswise we’ve been rolling along nicely with a 21-12 spread record, and we’re also 7-2 on our 3-star NFL best bets. Let’s see if we can keep it rolling this week.
Here at Pickswise, we’ve got the opinions of our sharpest NFL experts and brought you their top picks for Week 3. So that’s five NFL Week 3 best bets, all in one place! Let’s take a look and break down each of the picks from our analysts.
Don’t forget to read our NFL picks for EVERY Week 3 matchup
Jared Smith: Commanders +7 over Eagles (-125)
I think the market is getting stretched on the Eagles after their impressive win on Monday night over the Vikings. Based on what I saw on my Twitter timeline after the game, you would think Philly already won the Super Bowl. Make no mistake, I think the Eagles showed us their best stuff on both sides of the ball, but now that I’m getting a full 7 with a divisional home underdog, it fully catches my attention.
I think it’s fair to say the Eagles defense has been a weakness, grading out as the worst tackling team in the NFL through 2 games according to PFF. That’s good news for Antonio Gibson, who should be a focal point of the offensive game plan for Washington.
The Carson Wentz revenge factor also must be considered here. Wentz has graded out okay through his first 2 games with the Commanders and finished top 6 in air yards last week against the Lions. His weapons are elite, with Jahan Dotson coming on strong in his rookie campaign alongside Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel in the slot. I expect to see Darius Slay matchup against McLaurin, which leaves James Bradberry against Dotson, a matchup I think favors the Commanders. Hurts’ legs could absolutely wreck this handicap, but I’m betting on there being just enough regression there for Washington to keep this within the number.
Be sure to check out our full Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders predictions
Howard Bender: Rams -3.5 over Cardinals (-110)
The battle for supremacy in the NFC West is likely going to be intense throughout the season, but this game between the Rams and Cardinals will tell us plenty of what we need to know looking forward. The Rams were the preseason front-runners and while there may be some concerns regarding Matthew Stafford’s elbow and how many points the defense has allowed, they still remain the favorites. Meanwhile, the Cardinals were supposed to look more competitive — but after a thrashing by the Chiefs and the need to come from behind to beat the Raiders, the skeptics are crawling out of the woodwork.
This early in the season, there is clearly more concern for the Cardinals. Head coach Kliff Kingsbury remains on the hot seat, Kyler Murray is routinely questioned and their receiving corps leaves little to be desired. This team floundered in Week 1, was a veritable no-show for the first half of Week 2 and seemed to walk away winners more due to the Raiders’ collapse than their own offensive prowess.
The Rams brushed off their opening-week loss to the Bills and immediately showed Atlanta what they were made of in Week 2. The 31-27 score did not even remotely tell the story of this game, as the Falcons’ 17 fourth-quarter points were a result of the Rams taking their foot off the gas. It cost them the win against the spread last week, but they probably won’t make that mistake twice. The Cardinals are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games and are likely headed for another loss.
Be sure to check out our full Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals predictions
Andrew Ortenberg: Falcons +1 over Seahawks (-115)
This might not be the most highly anticipated matchup of Week 3, but that doesn’t mean we can’t find some opportunities for value as the Seattle Seahawks host the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons are 0-2, but I’ve actually been fairly impressed with what I’ve seen from Arthur Smith’s squad. They dominated the Saints as a big underdog for most of their Week 1 matchup before falling apart late, and then last week against the Rams they nearly battled back to erase a big deficit on the road. Seattle got a win in an ugly Monday Night game to start their season, but they looked awful in their loss to the 49ers.
I’d much rather have Marcus Mariota with Drake London and Kyle Pitts at his disposal than Geno Smith and this Seahawks offense. Mariota looks much better than he did during the end of his Titans days, and his legs give this offense a new dimension. London looks like a future star, and Cordarrelle Patterson has once again looked better than expected out of the backfield. The Falcons have more talent on defense than you might think, including with a stud cornerback duo of Casey Hayward Jr. and AJ Terrell. Those guys should be able to handle DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.
Be sure to check out our full Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks predictions
Ricky Dimon: Ravens -2.5 over Patriots (-115)
The Baltimore Ravens will try to bounce back from an epic collapse against the Miami Dolphins when they visit the New England Patriots on Sunday afternoon. Baltimore led 35-14 going into the fourth quarter, only to see Miami storm back for a 42-38 victory. On the bright side, the Patriots sure aren’t the Dolphins (in fact, head coach Bill Belichick’s team lost to those same Dolphins 20-7 in Week 1). Moreover, a late-game lack of focus can’t entirely discount the fact that the Ravens were blowing out a tough opponent for the majority of the contest. Combined with a 24-9 season-opening defeat of the Jets, the Ravens were outscoring opponents 59-23 through six and a half quarters.
Baltimore has been getting off to fast starts, and to say that New England isn’t a team built to play from behind would be a gross understatement. The Patriots were terrible against the Dolphins in Week 1, and they were bad – at least offensively – again during last Sunday’s 17-14 win over Pittsburgh in what was a thoroughly awful football game. Mac Jones has more turnovers (3) than touchdowns (2), and New England is averaging a mere 3.8 yards per rushing attempt. Take the Ravens and do so with confidence, especially if you don’t have to give more than a field goal.
Be sure to check out our full Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots predictions
Keith Schmelter: Bills -5.5 over Dolphins (-110)
The Bills and the Dolphins both won their Week 2 matchups, but in very different styles. Buffalo demolished the Titans on Monday Night Football by a score of 41-7, including 34 unanswered points. It was a beatdown as Stefon Diggs nearly had as many receiving yards as the Titans had total yards. Derrick Henry was supposed to play a large role for Tennessee since the Bills’ defensive line was thin, but he was limited to just 25 yards on 13 attempts. Josh Allen finished with 317 yards and 4 touchdowns, and the Bills’ defense forced 4 turnovers, so everything was going right for Buffalo. After two weeks, the Bills have a +55 point differential, the highest in the league by far. They’ve taken down the reigning champions with ease and completely shut down one of the most dangerous running backs in the league in back-to-back weeks.
The Dolphins were down 21 points to Baltimore last week, but came back to complete an upset over the Ravens. Lamar Jackson had one of the best games of his career and was shredding the Dolphins’ secondary, but the Baltimore defense let Miami back into the game. The Ravens’ secondary allowed Tua Tagovailoa to throw for 469 yards, and that’s after giving up 306 to the ageless wonder Joe Flacco in Week 1. The bad news for Miami is that Buffalo’s secondary is a massive step up from Baltimore’s. The Bills’ defense has forced 5 interceptions in the first 2 weeks, and we’ve seen Tua make some questionable decisions already this season and Buffalo has the type of defense to capitalize on any mistakes.
It’s hard to not like the Bills in this spot as their defense has allowed 17 points through 2 weeks while forcing 7 turnovers, and they demolished the Titans even without WR Gabriel Davis. The Bills don’t look like they’re slowing down anytime soon, so back Buffalo before this line moves too far.
Be sure to check out our full Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins predictions
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