Andrew Wilsher
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Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season has arrived, and things have already gotten off to a wild start with the Thanksgiving slate giving us 3 crazy games. Despite there being a ton of chaos this season, our Pickswise NFL handicappers have been crushing it. We’re 95-68-4 on our spread picks for a profit of +38.1 units, while our NFL Best Bets are an impressive 38-24 for +32.13 units. Now they’re back this week with their top picks for the action. Without further ado, let’s dive into our NFL Week 12 best bets.
Don’t miss any of our NFL picks for Week 12 — we’re up +38.1 units on sides this season!
Jared Smith: Titans +3 over Bengals (-110)
This is my favorite game of the week for pure entertainment value, but I believe it offers some modest betting value as well. Mike Vrabel excels as an underdog in his career going 22-12 ATS with 20 of those victories straight up. The revenge angle is also noteworthy here. Cincinnati upset Tennessee 19-16 in the AFC Divisional Playoff just 10 months ago, sending the league’s top seed home empty-handed in the postseason.
Up front, Cincinnati has struggled to protect Joe Burrow this season grading out 31st in pass block win rate. They’ve held up well in the running game but that’s the strength of the Titans’ defense which have the top rush DVOA in the league. On offense, the Titans are blocking well up front and Ryan Tannehill is his usual efficient self, making the best out of a relatively pedestrian group of receivers. Derrick Henry could be in for a big day against a Bengals front that’s 31st in run-stop win rate this season.
Be sure to check out our full Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans predictions
Howard Bender: Seahawks -3.5 over Raiders (-110)
This game actually has all the earmarks of being a fun one to watch. Seattle is coming off a bye, so their weapons are all well-rested. Kenneth Walker has been a revelation for this team and Geno Smith is playing way ahead of where anyone projected coming into the season. The Raiders rank 22nd in DVOA against the run so Walker should have little to no trouble finding the holes and pushing through to the second level of the defense and they rank dead-last against the pass, so the combination of DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and even Noah Fant could be explosive.
This game is likely to stay close and could actually turn into a bit of a track meet. Should it come down to that, we are going to have to side with the quarterback who has been more consistent from game to game and that’s more Smith than Derek Carr. While the Seahawks are just 1-1 against the spread as favorites, they are 3-1 against the spread at home this season and should be able to clamp down on the Raiders’ offense enough to escape with the win and the cover.
Be sure to check out our full Las Vegas Raiders vs Seattle Seahawks predictions
Andrew Ortenberg: Jaguars +4 over Ravens (-110)
We’ve got an interesting AFC matchup here as the Jacksonville Jaguars host the Baltimore Ravens. The Jags are coming off their bye while the Ravens beat the Panthers but didn’t look like world-beaters doing it. Baltimore struggled with Carolina for much of a game that was tied 3-3 late, and they won as 13-point favorites only because Baker Mayfield couldn’t get anything going. That wasn’t just a one-off either — I’ve been concerned about this Ravens offense for a while. Their third-down passing game isn’t any good, and Lamar Jackson doesn’t have many weapons at his disposal.
The Jaguars have been one of the unluckiest teams in the NFL, and there’s no reason for the Ravens to be a large road favorite. Jacksonville has lost a bunch of close games, with 6 of their 7 defeats coming by one score. The only game they lost by more than one possession was on the road at the Chiefs by 10. Travis Etienne is starting to break out, and Christian Kirk is coming off a 105-yard 2-touchdown game. The Ravens’ 7-3 record has patched everything up for the time being, but there are a lot of issues simmering beneath the surface. They’ve played a pretty soft schedule recently, and I think some of those issues get exposed. Getting more than a field goal with a Jags team that has played much better at home this year is too good to pass up.
Be sure to check out our full Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars predictions
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