Ricky Dimon
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Sunday Night Football in Week 13 pits the Kansas City Chiefs against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. Kansas City is 8-3 and hoping to once again secure the #1 seed in the AFC playoffs. Green Bay is 5-6 and back in contention for a wild-card spot in the NFC after upsetting Detroit on Thanksgiving. Needless to say, this should be a good one in primetime on Sunday.
Let’s take a look at the best player prop bets to be made, and also make sure to check out our full Chiefs vs Packers picks.
Patrick Mahomes, QB, KC Under 262.5 passing yards (-115 at DraftKings)
First of all, it’s going to be snowing in Green Bay on Sunday. There’s a chance the flaky stuff is gone before kickoff, but the bottom line is that the weather is not going to be good. Temperatures will be freezing (or at least close to it) and the field won’t be in great shape regardless of whether it is covered with snow or not. Whatever the case, I’m not expecting Mahomes to air it out a whole lot during this contest. It should also be noted that Mahomes has been held to 185 yards or fewer in 2 of the last 3 games. He has surpassed this 262.5 quote only once in the last 4. Now he faces a Green Bay defense that is ninth in the NFL against the pass, allowing just 205.1 yards per game through the air. All things considered, there is every reason to anticipate another underwhelming passing performance for Mahomes.
Jordan Love, QB, GB Under 227.5 passing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Given the weather conditions, there is also no way I’m backing Love to have a big night via the airwaves. In fact, I would not expect him to rack up a bunch of yards even if the weather was pristine. After all, Kansas City’s defense is #3 in the league against the pass, surrendering just 176.6 yards per contest on an anemic 6.2 yards per attempt. Moreover, receiver Jayden Reed is questionable and the offense will definitely be hindered by the absence of running back Aaron Jones. Love’s numbers have been pretty good of late, but he has stayed under 230 passing yards in 5 of the last 10 games. Given the opponent, the weather and the injury issues, there is no reason to think the Utah State product will have a big passing day.
