The second game on the Thanksgiving slate is an NFC East showdown between the Washington Commanders and Dallas Cowboys. Sam Howell leads the league in passing yards, but mostly because his defense is so bad that he’s constantly playing from behind. The Cowboys do a great job of beating up on lesser opponents, but Washington has done a good job keeping these divisional games close. Let’s get into my favorite prop bet for the game.
Be sure to check out our full Commanders vs Cowboys predictions
Brian Robinson over 11.5 rushing attempts (+100)
Line available at Bet365 at the time of publishing.
Antonio Gibson is QUE this Thursday and a game time decision with a toe injury. I’m leaning on Robinson to get a majority of the carries on Thanksgiving as it gives Washington the best chance to pull out an upset. The Commanders are 3-2 this season when Robinson crosses this mark and the key will be coming up with a few big stops early for the Commanders defense to keep this close. Dallas is one of the best pass defenses in the league, but we’ve seen 7 RB’s hit this mark against them this season. For his career, he’s hit this line in 15 of 20 starts. 1U play for me.