The NFC Wild Card race will likely go down to the wire this season and the showdown Thursday night between the Seattle Seahawks (+9) and Dallas Cowboys could be a deciding factor. The Seahawks are coming off a Thanksgiving Day trouncing at the hand of the 49ers, while the Cowboys are coming off a massive victory over the Commanders. Dallas does a great job beating up on weaker teams, but this is make-or-break for the Seahawks with the Packers, Falcons and Rams nipping at their heels.
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Dak Prescott under 280.5 passing yards (-110)
Line available on Bet365 at the time of publishing.
Fading Prescott right now is borderline insanity, but please stay with me. The Seattle Seahawks have one of the best CB duos in the league and run zone defense the 2nd-most in the NFL on passing downs. I reviewed Prescott’s performances against other teams that run a high frequency of zone coverage: against San Francisco (14th-most zone) he had 153 yards, against Carolina (3rd) he had 189 yards and against Arizona (4th) he had 249 yards. CeeDee Lamb, his WR1, has been on a tear of late, but thrives against man coverage, pumping Prescott’s stats in the other direction. I do not expect Prescott to struggle on Thursday night, but reaching the 280.5-yard mark is not something he’s done with any type of consistency against these zone-heavy defenses this season. This is a 1U play for me.
Read our full Seattle Seahawks vs Dallas Cowboys predictions for Thursday Night Football