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The 14-1 Kansas City Chiefs make the trip into Pittsburgh to face off against the Steelers on Christmas Day! Both teams are coming off short weeks, with games last Saturday. Let’s get into my best Chiefs vs Steelers player prop bet for Wednesday, while you can also check out our NFL picks for EVERY Week 16 matchup.
Check out our Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers predictions for Christmas Day
Patrick Mahomes (KC) over 249.5 passing yards (-110)
Odds available at Bet365 Sportsbook at time of publishing.
It’s been a disappointing 4 weeks in the run game since Isiah Pacheco returned. The duo of Pacheco and Kareem Hunt have failed to sniff 100 yards combined rushing since Pacheco returned from an ankle injury, so it’s been the Patrick Mahomes show. Mahomes is averaging 40.5 pass attempts during that span while the run game struggles. It won’t get any easier for the running back duo versus the Steelers, who rank in the top 10 in yards allowed per carry and rushing yards allowed per game. Instead of fading one of Hunt or Pacheco, we’ll pivot to back Mahomes. Hunt and Pacheco have rushing lines set below 45.5 yards – Accurate lines set by the sportsbooks.
Even with the Chiefs 14-1 record, they have yet to escalate a lead that puts Mahomes and the Chiefs in a run-heavy game script. Mahomes continues to throw when having the lead in the 2nd half. He’s thrown over 20 passes in the 2nd half in 3 of his last 4 games, including surpassing the over of 249.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 5 games. The supposed ankle injury Mahomes sustained over a week ago looks like a thing of the past. But if it hinders him during the short week, look for Mahomes to stay in the pocket and dish out to his reliable and healthy receiver room with Marquise Brown back.
Now find out our Chiefs vs Steelers touchdown scorer best bets at +170 and +250 odds!
