Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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If you looked at this matchup in August, you would have it circled on your calendar as a potential AFC Championship game scenario. Now that Aaron Rodgers is gone for the season, this game is popular for other reasons totally unrelated to football. Nonetheless, it is a primetime game between a top-tier offense and a top-tier defense. The Chiefs currently sit as a 9-point favorite over the New York Jets in Metlife Stadium.
Check out our Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Jets predictions
Isiah Pacheco (KC) over 52.5 rushing yards (-114)
Line available on FanDuel at the time of publishing
Pacheco is in for a bit of a homecoming as the former Rutgers star returns to New Jersey on Sunday. He’s cleared this line in two straight games, missing only the season opener in which Travis Kelce was out and the Chiefs, for once, looked less dynamic. His career 4.4 ypc put this in play with just 12 carries, a number he’s reached in two straight. The potential for a negative game script is high considering the spread is at 9 and the Jets offense is about as inept as it gets with Zach Wilson under center. This game will likely get out of hand, and that plays into Pacheco having a big second half. He’s averaging 7 carries per game in the second half of games this season and a 5.0 ypc when leading. This is a 1.5U play for me and you can safely play it to 54.5.
Justin Watson (KC) over 22.5 receiving yards (-110)
Line available on Bet365 at the time of publishing.
Watson has been ‘old reliable’ these first 3 weeks of the season. He’s averaging 22.6 yards per reception on 7 catches through 3 games and has cleared this line in every game this season. His targets should be around 4, and this number can be had with 2 catches. The Jets defense will be prepared to look sharp in primetime, but being on the field for so long will eventually take its toll on the unit. So far this season, the Jets have given up pass plays for 58, 31, 26, and 25 yards. Riding this for 1U and can be played to 23.5
