Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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This Saturday night we have a “win and in” game between the Houston Texans (-1.5) and the Indianapolis Colts. The winner of this game secures a playoff spot, but there’s a chance either team could win the AFC South if they secure the victory and the Jaguars lose to the Titans. The Colts were a surprise with a rookie quarterback and rookie head coach to start the season, but the team has rallied behind Gardner Minshew after starting 3-5. For the Texans, the future is bright and everyone is excited to see what CJ Stroud can do in a playoff atmosphere. You can check out our NFL picks for every Week 18 game, but for now, let’s get into my favorite Texans vs Colts player prop bet.
Dalton Schultz over 4.5 receptions (+114)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
This is one of the few times that a contract incentive and the actual line match up. Dalton Schultz is due a $250,000 bonus for 60 receptions and he currently sits at 54. He will need 6 to hit that mark. He’s had 5+ in 8 of 14 games and 6+ in 6 of 14. Against Indianapolis in Week 2, Schultz had 7 targets for 4 receptions and the Colts rank 8th-worst in the NFL in receptions per game to opposing tight ends. I’ll be playing over 4.5 receptions for 1 unit and I’m also going to put 0.75 units on 6+ receptions at +220 odds. Something tells me this line will be bet up considerably by kickoff.
