The 12th man in Seattle (+2.5) has a chance to put distance between themselves and 2nd place in the NFC with a win over the Green Bay Packers at home on Sunday night. The total sits at 46.5 and the Packers sit with the biggest injury of the game, with Pro Bowl cornerback Jaire Alexander expecting to be out, which will be his 4th straight missed game with a knee injury. On the bright side, Green Bay should get back WR Romeo Doubs after missing the last 2 games with a concussion. For Seattle, this is a team that has won 4 straight games and shockingly remain a home underdog in primetime. Let’s get into our best prop bet for this game.
Tucker Kraft (GB) over 32.5 receiving yards (-110)
Line available on Bet365 sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Jayden Reed appears to be in for another rough night against the solid man coverage of the Seattle Seahawks that ranks 2nd in team coverage grade and 6th in yards allowed per snap according to PFF. With that in mind, I’m pivoting to the tight end of Green Bay to help move the chains Sunday Night . Kraft has an advantage over Earnest Jones according to PFF in terms of a coverage matchup and the Seahawks allow the 5th most targets and 9th most receptions to opposing TE’s this season. In terms of the number, it’s certainly beatable considering his median yards this season sits at 35.5 and he’s hit this in 4 of 7 on the road for 2024. This is a 1u play from me.