Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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The second game in the MNF doubleheader sees the Washington Commanders (+7.5) take on the Joe Burrow-led Cincinnati Bengals. After a tough Week 2 loss to Kansas City, the Bengals have fallen to 0-2 and will see this matchup as a way to notch one in the win column. Rookie QB Jayden Daniels has looked promising early on, making big plays with his legs and completing 75% of his passes. As Bengals CB Cam Taylor-Britt referenced this week in an interview, they’re making the offense simple, similar to a college offense. Some took this as a jab, but in my opinion, it’s confidence-building while he gets used to the speed of the NFL. Tee Higgins is slated to make his 2024 debut on Monday Night Football after missing the first couple of games of the season with injury.
With kickoff slated for 8:15 pm ET on ESPN, it’s time to get into my best Commanders vs Bengals player prop bet for MNF, while you can also find out our NFL picks for this matchup as well as Jaguars vs Bills.
Read our full Washington Commanders vs Cincinnati Bengals predictions
Jayden Daniels (WAS) under 18.5 completions (-105)
Odds available at Bet365 at time of publishing.
As mentioned above, Daniels is averaging a 75% completion percentage to start the season. The caveat to that is he has yet to face a man coverage defense through 2 weeks. I’m drastically expecting that number to come down. Only Luke McCaffrey was able to separate in coverage above 60% (Terry McLaurin was exactly 60% in Week 2). I expect Washington to come out early and try to milk the clock with a solid run game and once the game gets out of hand, Daniels will be forced to make throws down the field. In a game where he was down 2 scores in the 2nd half to Tampa Bay, he only completed 17 of his 24 attempts.
With Brian Robinson, Austin Ekeler and Daniels all trying to succeed on the ground, I struggle to see the rookie QB consistently beating man coverage and tight-window throws. Patrick Mahomes went 18/25 last week against the Bengals and Jacoby Brissett went 15/24 in Week 1. This is a 1u play for me.
Lock in our Commanders vs Bengals Same Game Parlay picks for tonight at +800 odds
